RE: OT: For anyone headed to the NC beaches this summer.
Just saw a buddy took a pic of a bull up the neuse river today. The food is so plentiful they are following it well inland into rivers they don't normally go.
USA Today article said 30-40 shark attacks in the US annually. Approximately 400 people are struck by lightning in the US annually. 10 times more likely.
Dude... Causation and comparative analysis... I hear what you are saying, but you can't compare those numbers and tell me i'm more likely to be struck vs shark attack if I spend alot of time surfing in the obx.. Both numbers are reflected against our total population and if I'm spending most of my day swimming in ockracoke, I think I'm allot more worried about sharks than lightning..
RE: OT: For anyone headed to the NC beaches this summer.
(07-02-2015 09:50 PM)5000DOLLARBILL Wrote: Dude... Causation and comparative analysis... I hear what you are saying, but you can't compare those numbers and tell me i'm more likely to be struck vs shark attack if I spend alot of time surfing in the obx.. Both numbers are reflected against our total population and if I'm spending most of my day swimming in ockracoke, I think I'm allot more worried about sharks than lightning..
I'm fully aware that there is a greater population potentially in an area that could get a thunderstorm than there is a population of persons that get in a body of water every year.
I am simply pointing out that the statistic, which I was just repeating after hearing it on the news and not over-analyzing it to death, is in fact supported by real numbers. 400 is greater than 40. You can't argue against that. I know the ratios will be effected by the populations. The news didn't bother to point that out in their quick 4 second mention.
This board will counter-argue literally everything.
(This post was last modified: 07-03-2015 07:40 AM by Potomac.)
RE: OT: For anyone headed to the NC beaches this summer.
(07-03-2015 07:37 AM)Potomac Wrote:
(07-02-2015 09:50 PM)5000DOLLARBILL Wrote: Dude... Causation and comparative analysis... I hear what you are saying, but you can't compare those numbers and tell me i'm more likely to be struck vs shark attack if I spend alot of time surfing in the obx.. Both numbers are reflected against our total population and if I'm spending most of my day swimming in ockracoke, I think I'm allot more worried about sharks than lightning..
I'm fully aware that there is a greater population potentially in an area that could get a thunderstorm than there is a population of persons that get in a body of water every year.
I am simply pointing out that the statistic, which I was just repeating after hearing it on the news and not over-analyzing it to death, is in fact supported by real numbers. 400 is greater than 40. You can't argue against that. I know the ratios will be effected by the populations. The news didn't bother to point that out in their quick 4 second mention.
This board will counter-argue literally everything.
Stats can be used to prove or disprove anything you want. Present it the way you want and you get the answer you are looking for. Do you realize how many people in this world, even in the US, who have never stuck a toe in salt water. I have a neighbor who has a young girl my daughter's age, 14. They drove from Charlotte to the beach one day and returned that night. In 14 years of living about 30 minutes of walking on the sand is all this little girl has done. Now, which is she more likely to have happen, struck by lightning or bitten by a shark?
RE: OT: For anyone headed to the NC beaches this summer.
(07-03-2015 07:37 AM)Potomac Wrote:
(07-02-2015 09:50 PM)5000DOLLARBILL Wrote: Dude... Causation and comparative analysis... I hear what you are saying, but you can't compare those numbers and tell me i'm more likely to be struck vs shark attack if I spend alot of time surfing in the obx.. Both numbers are reflected against our total population and if I'm spending most of my day swimming in ockracoke, I think I'm allot more worried about sharks than lightning..
I'm fully aware that there is a greater population potentially in an area that could get a thunderstorm than there is a population of persons that get in a body of water every year.
I am simply pointing out that the statistic, which I was just repeating after hearing it on the news and not over-analyzing it to death, is in fact supported by real numbers. 400 is greater than 40. You can't argue against that. I know the ratios will be effected by the populations. The news didn't bother to point that out in their quick 4 second mention. This board will counter-argue literally everything.
LOL. Just admit you were wrong with the point you were trying to make.
That was about 3/4 of a mile from where we were, in the water all through the day, every day. The sharks are always there, always have been.
Typically NC/ Outer Banks will get about 4 bites a year, it's now at 7. I'd say that's slightly elevated and if there are no more for the rest of the Summer (very possible) I'd see this little run by the critters as a small blip of an anomaly. HOWEVER, someone somewhere is going to run around screaming "SHARK ATTACKS OFF THE NC COAST ARE UP NEARLY 100%!!!" and talk about dumb things like shutting down the beaches.
If you don't want to get bitten by a shark, go swim in a pool somewhere or go to the outlet malls. If, instead, you want to go enjoy our beautiful oceans and head on into the water, you know the risk. You're on their turf now.