(06-23-2015 08:31 PM)dawgitall Wrote: Five years ago there were about 16.5 fewer people with insurance. The repeated argument by many here and elsewhere has been that with all these new people getting coverage there will be long delays to be seen by doctors. It is great that you aren't one of those that is claiming that Ham!
The repeated claim was also that having insurance would reduce the people using the ER for primary care.
This too hasn't happened.
The long delays already existed.
But if you look at the actual numbers...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonk...18-5-days/
and yes, that is a KFF article...
You'll see that lots of what i've said all along is consistent with their findings.
As plan deductibles and copays have gone up, patient volumes have declined.... that means that for the portion of the 16.5mm people who go to the doctor because they now have insurance are merely replacing those of the (Pulling a number from thin air) 100mm previously insured who are now paying higher copays or deductibles so they don't go as often. So you dont 'go there', I didn't say 100mm people are paying more... I honestly don't know what that number is... I said that some portion of the previously insured is... and they are responding by consuming less healthcare... that isn't MY opinion, that is KFF's and MGMA's.
It is different people seeing the doctor, not more people. If you still consider that a positive... then there isn't much to say about it.
I DO note this... according to the plan, only 45% of physicians take Medicaid, down from 55% in 2009. If you don't attribute that to the ACA, then I don't know what you DO attribute it to. I also note that Boston accepts 73% of Medicaid patients, but they also have a VERY long (though improving) wait time, while Dallas has only a 23% acceptance rate of Medicaid and the wait time is the shortest in the country.
To argue that more people on 'acceptable' insurance isn't otherwise correlated to longer wait times is to argue against the facts on the ground. No, it isn't a 1:1 relationship and there are lots of moving parts... but to argue that there is no relationship at all is just not intelligent.
I also note that the decrease from 20.9 days in 2004 to 20.4 days in 2009 to 18.5 days in 2013 is (according to the researchers) practices employing more mid-levels, IT and the increase in urgent care centers. Only IT is an area fundamentally impacted by the ACA. The other two were already happening before the ACA was even mentioned.
Quote:So my simple point was that despite the addition of 16.5 million adults to the rolls of the insured, the health care providers seem to be adjusting fairly well. That seems like a positive to me.
Well, if you consider people who previously got care, now not getting care because of increases in their copays and deductibles and hospitals doing things like closing and consolidating services (one of my hospitals no longer performs surgery and another one no longer delivers babies) a positive. Then I guess there is no reason to continue the discussion.
For all the positives you want to mention, there are negatives which you ignore... and more importantly, you ignore the 'why's'. As I've repeatedly said... not all of the ACA is bad... Uncapping policies is very cheap, doesn't impact many people but it IS a good thing (because in part it is so cheap). The focus on improved IT is also a good thing... and spending more money on healthcare in general is a good thing.
Most of the rest of it is merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
That's not me saying that, It's KFF, MGMA and other large, non-partisan consulting firms
The song remains the same.