(06-03-2015 02:33 PM)ark30inf Wrote: (06-03-2015 02:23 PM)FIUFan Wrote: (06-03-2015 01:36 PM)ark30inf Wrote: They are going to be severely outgunned for a while either way they go. They will not win a lot.
So it really depends on the fan support either way. If they pack the stadium and cheer and donate despite losing then they will be back in good form before long. If the fans stay at home and sit....then they won't gain traction and will revert to type....either way.
So if I were them I would just get back on that horse and be FBS from day one and expect to win.
Whatever players they are able to put on the field may be outmanned at first...but they'll be brave souls worth cheering for and buying a ticket for.
Correct. But another issue we here at FIU have first hand knowledge of is the black-cloud that will hover over UAB football for years to come. FIU soccer was a power in the 90's and even played Indiana for a National Championship. When it was announced that Soccer was going to be cut (for football) and the coach was fired, there was a huge outcry and the program was eventually re-instated; but irreperable damage was done to the program. All the recruits left and it was nearly impossible to recruit the same level of athlete as we had been accustomed to.
Now fast-forward to UAB's situation and you see a President who has been embarrssed and a State Board that is now eating crow. Even under the best of cirumstances this program will have the swords of Damocles hanging over their heads. What kind of athlete is going to want to go there? Point is, don't throw this program to the wolves. Wait till the univeristy President (who ever that may be) gives it a clean bill of health and the State throws its full support behind them, otherwise you'll have a gutted, zombie program just going through the motions.
I see what you are saying....but that is going to be true either way. Announcing an FCS level schedule on top of all that won't make players flock there either.
I would dress for the job I wanted, not the one I have...and ask the fans to come out and cheer every positive sign and share every pain.
But, its a personal preference. Neither way is going to be easy.
My guess is that the first two seasons will be carried by JUCOs and high schoolers that didn't have many, if any, D-I scholarship options. In all likelihood, the 2015 class will be like picking through the Halloween candy display on Nov. 6. Maybe you'll get lucky and happen upon a bag of fun-sized Milky Way Darks, but mostly you'll have to settle for those Christawful peanut-butter things in the orange and black wrappers. Those guys are going to be happy just to be somewhere.
The 2016 class, the first full one they'll have, is where they'll start getting more FBS-quality players. But if UAB is smart, they'll redshirt the bulk of them while using more JUCOs to start. Then again for 2017. By 2018, they should have a full complement of classes with only a spot JUCO here and there.
From a scheduling perspective, 2016 isn't house money, but it's as close as they'll get to having a margin to work with. My suspicion is that the bulk of their support that season will be fueled more by civic/school pride than anything result or opponent-driven. I think they'll be better off, in terms of building a brand and a program, playing games against Southland/SoCon/OVC teams and winning a sizable chunk of them than getting crushed against Rice, UTEP and Louisiana Tech in the first eight weeks of 2.0. Winning is contagious, and so is losing.
So tomato cans as an FCS indy in 2016. Then better FCS teams with a couple of G5 buy games in 2017. Then a full CUSA schedule in 2018. Essentially what Charlotte did and is doing, only with schedule upgrades in season 2.
The public and media probably won't expect miracles in the first season, but you don't want to get blown out and give them a reason to mock you.