CrazyCajun
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RE: Astate's John Brady talks expansion
(05-20-2015 07:51 PM)arkstfan Wrote: (05-20-2015 06:30 PM)rknj8993 Wrote: So, here are my thoughts on everything I have read, just gathered into one long reply:
Is the travel to Idaho that bad? No. Is the success that Idaho has had recently that bad? Yes. Idaho is dragging the conference down more than even Georgia State is. The Vandals played their first season in 1893, but their record is a whopping 443-568-26. I know that records don't tell the whole story, but a school that is way out of the footprint and is not showing any progress does not deserve yet another chance to prove the conference wrong again.
In regards to EKU and CCU, I would rather take Coastal. I know that is not a popular opinion, but I think South Carolina has always been like North Carolina, in that there have been a few schools that dominated the state (Clemson, USC, UNC, Duke, NC State). Coastal would tap into a bit of a new market while providing some quality athletic teams. I know the support isn't astronomical, but when you're playing the likes of Elon, South Carolina State, and Gardner Webb, who can expect a huge spike in attendance? I just think EKU would see a short spike in attendance due to them being FBS, and then it would dwindle away, with a majority of the fair weather fans heading up the road to UK or Louisville for bigger names when the team starts to fall. Coastal could be ready, facilities wise, quickly with a few renovations, while EKU is looking to have to start over in a few places.
All in all, my top pick would still be JMU. I know that they want nothing to do with the Belt, but their chances at moving up are getting smaller and smaller by the day. I would also love to have UT-Chattanooga as a member of the conference, as they get us back into Tennessee, their facilities are already pretty solid, they're relatively successful, and they're in a market that we haven't really tapped into quite yet. My list, in this order, would be JMU, Missouri State, UTC, Coastal, Liberty, and EKU.
Also, if Idaho is given the boot, I'm okay with NMSU joining as a full member as long as they make great strides to improve their football team and attendance over the next five years. If you're lagging behind in football at this point, it's either time to nut up or shut up. To earn a better reputation for the conference, we can't afford stragglers.
I like Idaho, they are fighters, but they are a pain to travel to and hurt our power ratings. I'm glad they were available when we needed help to get through the transition but that era has ended. Time to end it.
EKU, I like the attitude of their president but I'm leery of a fourth FBS in a hoops state, especially when the school doesn't elevate us in football or basketball.
Coastal, I like everything about them except football attendance and their stadium. They are just over two hours from South Carolina and four from Clemson in a metro of 430k+
NMSU hurts us in football but can help in other sports. Either get them in all sports or cut them loose.
JMU, I don't believe their administration is that interested in FBS unless there is enough pressure and the looming July 1, 2016 deadline requiring state approval changes their mind.
I still think a brokered deal is possible, we will vote for your eastern school of choice if you vote for NMSU.
I don't think we announce any FCS to FBS add before June 1 so scratch any FCS until after football season.
My guess is if expansion is imminent (ie. an announcement prior to July 1, 2015) that NMSU is the announcement and if that announcement happens I'd say there is a 60%-75% chance we announce an eastern FCS move-up some time between December 2015 and May 2016.
Everything you stated makes sense arkstfan, but I think that is the problem. It makes entirely too much sense for our conference to actually act upon.
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