(04-04-2015 02:38 PM)CollegeCard Wrote: (04-04-2015 06:50 AM)CardinalJim Wrote: Keep in mind not expanding, after the much publicized expansion study, would send the message that Louisville football growth may have peaked, for that reason alone I believe the expansion announcement is imminent.
CJ
I agree. I don't think you go public announcing an expansion feasibility study unless you know expansion is actually happening PR wise. Probably a matter of how much you expand more than if.
I hope we don't go too large. I think closing in the north end and bumping from 55,000 to 65,000 along with additional revenue friendly luxury areas being added would work.
Here's a way to look at it:
The Research Triangle Combined Metro (Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill) has a population of 2.7 million. In that area Duke, NC State, and UNC have a combined 155K football seats to sale in three stadiums. UNC 65K, NC State 58K, Duke 33K. Actual attendance is about 55K for NC State, 53K for UNC, and 25K for Duke. That's 133K. That's one football seat per 20K people.
Louisville by comparison has 1.45 million in the Combined Metro so at one seat per 20K that's 72,500 seats that you ought to be able to fill.
Now, Louisville has the extra advantage of no pro-hockey team and no other decent P-5 football program to root for until you get all the way to South Bend, or Columbus.
70K gives you enough free board in the stadium to capture the value of Notre Dame and Kentucky in your stadium. The same would hold true for Cincy. Since Louisville is a fun road trip, you would be able to draw a good crowd from FSU, Clemson, UNC, NC State, and Va Tech. You are also relative close to GT.
You have so little local competition that you should leverage that and then make sure you keep a pro team out of Louisville.
It helps a lot that you have all the infrastructure in Louisville to handle large traveling crowds. That's something that VT, UVa, Clemson, and even FSU don't have. It's almost impossible to fly in to Tally for some reason and they are not located near enough to the Gulf to be overflowing with hotel space. Clemson, VT, and UVa are all located in small, rural college towns and makes a road trip to their football stadiums a little onerous.