FNblazer
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Likely seeding coming into focus
Coach Haase correctly said that we would know where we stood after this road trip. Unfortunately, the Blazers came up 0-2.
We need to regroup quickly, because this game Thursday has the most implications for our eventual tournament seeding. WKU has the least favorable schedule in the league, and I believe they will lose at least two more. We are in a must-win situation Wednesday to jump the Toppers.
Confidence is now high for a 3-5 finish in final seeding. With UTEP holding the tiebreaker over us, barring some huge WTF losses, LT and UTEP will finish 1 and 2. In fact, if UTEP could pull off the win over LT Thursday night, the league will be theirs to lose.
Old Dominion losing is a nice development, as it keeps them in 5th place. They are 1 game behind us, and we hold the tiebreaker.
So we need a huge homecourt advantage Thursday. Even with another loss and a 13-5 finish, the Blazers will still likely eventually clinch the 3 seed with a win Thursday, as the 3-7 teams in the league are all in simultaneous freefall.
Warren Nolan says:
1) LT 14-4
2) UTEP 14-4
3) WKU 13-5
4) UAB 12-6
5) Old Dominion 12-6
6) UTSA 9-9
7) MT 9-9
8) FIU 8-10
9) Rice 8-10
10) Charlotte 7-11
11) Marshall 7-11
12) North Texas 7-11
However, if WKU loses to us Thursday, I believe they will finish no better than 12-6.
I can't underscore the importance of this game. That's why I'm worried about the mental state of the team following tonight's loss. In the grand scheme of things, due to the tiebreaker situation, we would've likely needed a 15-3 record to win the league. We can still get an excellent draw if we can beat WKU and finish 3-1 after that.
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02-14-2015 11:40 PM |
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uabhack
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
A top 4 seed gets us a bye in round 1 right?
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02-15-2015 01:58 PM |
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FNblazer
#freeuab
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
That's correct. Big difference in the 3 and 4 seed this year though. A 3 seed gets us playing UTSA/Marshall winner, while 4 seed likely draws ODU or WKU.
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02-15-2015 02:08 PM |
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WesternBlazer
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
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02-15-2015 02:46 PM |
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blazerjay
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
ODU is 1½ games behind us.
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02-15-2015 02:50 PM |
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BandGrad
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
Any team in this league can win the tourney.
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02-15-2015 04:03 PM |
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FNblazer
#freeuab
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
If we win Thursday, I predict we will finish in 3rd all alone.
Also, for multi-bid purposes, ODU, La Tech, and UTEP will all be right on the verge of an at-large bid if they can finish the season with only one more loss and make the conference finals.
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02-15-2015 04:04 PM |
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iam4uab
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
(02-15-2015 04:03 PM)BandGrad Wrote: Any team in this league can win the tourney.
Southern Miss can't.
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02-15-2015 05:01 PM |
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demiveeman
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
(02-16-2015 10:44 AM)ATTALLABLAZE Wrote: Neither can FIU.
Their postseason ban was last season.
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02-16-2015 10:56 AM |
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blazers9911
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
(02-15-2015 02:50 PM)blazerjay Wrote: ODU is 1½ games behind us.
And really 2.5 when you consider the tiebreaker.
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02-16-2015 11:01 AM |
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Blazer85
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Likely seeding coming into focus
Charlotte really could have helped us out had they pulled it out against La Tech. Still going to need some help to tie or pass La Tech in the standings.
Getting closer to a guaranteed first round bye.
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02-19-2015 10:49 PM |
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Ramsay7884
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
So what happens if UAB UTEP and WKU all finished tied for 2nd. With each team 1-1 vs each other. This would happen if utep gets beat by LA tech and wins out and both wku and uab win out.
If so what is the tie breaker...if it is record vs best team uab would be 1-1 vs LA tech while the others would be 0-1
Then after that wku beat utep would that make wku 3 and utep 4.
Or since utep is 1-0 vs uab the now #2 make utep #3.
Sounds confusing it is. Somebody get on it!
(This post was last modified: 02-19-2015 11:21 PM by Ramsay7884.)
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02-19-2015 11:19 PM |
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Blazer85
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Likely seeding coming into focus
Wouldn't be too surprised if MTSU beats WKU tomorrow. Also think UTEP has a legitimate shot of upsetting Tech at home. Will be a very interesting final stretch of games.
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02-22-2015 12:18 AM |
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BamaScorpio69
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
(02-22-2015 12:18 AM)Blazer85 Wrote: Also think UTEP has a legitimate shot of upsetting Tech at home.
Not after the azz whooping Tech just got from ODU. UTEP may keep it competitive but I would not be the least bit surprise if Tech beat the Miners by double digits at home.
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02-22-2015 08:46 AM |
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UABFRENCHY
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RE: Likely seeding coming into focus
I will love to finish in first place but the 2 lost in texas decrease our chance tremendously
Third PLACE will be fine with la tech and utep in front of us.
The semi final will be very difficult for the first place team because they may play
ODU or western kentucky
Go blazers :)
and #BOTSK :)
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02-22-2015 08:52 AM |
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