(01-06-2015 10:56 AM)Eagle66 Wrote: The average MAC OOC SOS this year is 258.7. Since 2010-11, it has never been higher than 196. We also have more teams with an OOC SOS over 300 this year (4) than the previous 4 seasons combined (3).
I think a lot of it has to do with not being able to get good mid majors, and low end BCS teams, to come to our arenas. I'm mostly speaking from EMU's perspective, but our three best OOC home games in Murphy's tenure have been MSU in 2011 (part of MSU's deal to play at all the Michigan mid majors...after we played there 3 years in a row), Purdue in 2012 (part of home-home-home that they didn't renew after we beat them), and UMass in 2013 (MAC deal).
We played Syracuse on the road 3 years in a row, but they wouldn't do their old assistant a solid and come here for the 4th. And honestly, there is no incentive for them to do it. Same with any mid major that has at-large aspirations. They're just hoping to avoid a bad loss (and don't get it twisted; losing to a MAC team is a bad loss on an at-large resume), while we are looking to shock the world. It's a lose-lose for them.
Murphy said after last year's gauntlet (@Kentucky, @Duke, @Syracuse, @Purdue, Green Bay), that his schedule this year wouldn't be as daunting. I don't like the 4 non-D1 games, but I imagine it's tough to fill a home OOC schedule without having a bunch of RPI destroyers like Coppin State and Longwood. Both WMU and CMU have similar looking scheds (with fewer non-D1s), and I imagine a lot of it is for the same reasons as mentioned above.
So our conference is reduced to having to pull nearly impossible upsets on the road against elite teams for any at-large hopes. Sadly, I see us being a one-bid league in the near future until the big boys come to our places, or we beat the Duke's and Kentucky's of the world at theirs.