RE: ESPN shadowing Fleck today
I'm still up in the air on how long I think he will stick around. For various reasons that make me lean both ways.
REASONS HE WOULD GET AN OFFER AND LEAVE:
1. Some that I have spoken with have expressed their opinion (notice I used that this is an opinion not stating fact) that he has no intention of being here any longer than he has to be. He wants to win and go big.
2. The turn around that has taken place in 1 season is remarkable and right now, the Broncos might be playing the best football in the MAC. That is going to start to get people taking notice.
3. He has shown his ability to recruit and change a culture quickly.
REASONS HE WOULDNT GET THAT OFFER (YET):
1. History has shown that MAC coaches get those offers once they have actually won something i.e. MAC Title. Or at a minimum get to the title game. The odds are very slim that either is going to happen this season. So I don't think he checks that box off the list quite yet.
2. If a lower P5 is looking for coaches, I don't know that they jump on one that though he has had a great season this year, ultimately still has a losing record and they might want to see another year to see if this trend continues or if its a one year wonder.
3. I think flush has made a very astute point regarding where PJ actually wants to get to. Is taking a job at an Illinois, Purdue, Indiana level Big 10 school...yes I know these aren't all open, but I'm making the point about the level.... ultimately where he wants to get to? As we have seen with Beckman at Illinois and maybe Hazel at Purdue, taking over a dog P5 program is not an easy task to turn around and keep that job very long. Maybe he feels like if he sticks around for 3 or 4 or 5 years and has big time success, then a better job comes along i.e. Brian Kelly and Butch Jones to Cincinnatti, or Urban Meyer to Utah, where they could win and parlay to bigger and better things.
4. He is having massive recruiting success at WMU by plucking the low hanging fruit from the lower tier Big 10 schools. If he is able to keep getting 3 star guys that may have been the 3rd choice for Purdue/Indiana/Illinois etc. he is going to keep on getting top MAC talent. Lets say he goes to an Illinois, is he going to be able to recruit that next tier of talent away from the true big boys? I'm just not sure that you can steal the 3rd option from Ohio St or Michigan St (notice I didn't include UofM in that) and hope to then be able to go compete with those same schools, because they will have gotten the 1st and 2nd options. PJ is recruiting kids right now that are above the normal MAC level. If he goes to a P5, he is going to be recruiting kids that are at best the same level and most likely, a step below the conference contenders simply because he's taking over a conference also ran.
5. If he were to leave, does he bring his new lady friend along? I actually met her Saturday at the game. (this is also not opinion, its fact, I actually met her...no names will be posted on this or any other thread) she kinda reminded me of Elvira, remember her? I couldn't decide if I thought she was scary or hot. Anyways I digress, my point is, is he making certain personal connections that might keep him here longer for some reason? My guess is if its at all serious, he just brings whoever along, as that's the life of a football coach always on to the next job.
Ultimately, I don't think PJ is going anywhere just yet. I think the P5 guys are going to want to see another year of success to see if it can be sustained. Personally, I see absolutely no reason for KB and Dunn to need to renegotiate anything at this point. They made a pretty significant commitment financially to him and the program when he came in. If he has another great year next year and they feel its important to try and keep him around, then maybe. But if it gets to that point, the P5 money is something WMU will never be able to compete with anyways, so why spend more now when you have him under contract and really don't need to. The only argument I see, is flushes last one regarding what kind of statement it makes for recruits, but I think it foolish now for WMU to commit more money when ultimately there are still going to be 3 years left on his contract. If he wins and gets looks from bigger opportunities, he is going to go regardless of if we give him a bit of a bump after this year. If he takes a step back, then you have committed more money for absolutely no reason. Just my opinion.
No need to worry about it anyways. Beat NIU Friday and go win a bowl game. And let the chips fall where they may.
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