(10-14-2014 11:30 AM)fencereagle Wrote: (10-14-2014 11:14 AM)HerdZoned Wrote: (10-14-2014 10:30 AM)GST-bone09 Wrote: (10-14-2014 10:27 AM)AppfanInCAAland Wrote: (10-14-2014 10:23 AM)CajunFanatico Wrote: New Orleans Bowl Cajuns vs San Diego State
Camellia Bowl stAte vs Holy Toledo
Birmingham Bowl ULM vs Old Dominion
GoDaddy Bowl South Alabama vs N. Illinois
Old Dominion!?!? That's BS right there
They're under the same eligibility restrictions we are. If any of us three get a spot in a bowl, it's Georgia Southern at the moment.
Theres only one thing flawed with your logic...ULM and GS are in the same conference and will bowls aren't set up to play conference games.
I don't think any trans. team will get a bowl spot. There are usually enough bowl eligible teams with 2-4 setting at home.
Other than being a GS fan I don't hold any terribly strong position in the whole bowl for transition teams debate BUT unlike in previous years there are 39 bowls this year up four from 35 last year. As a result there will need to be need for 76 bowl eligible teams at 6-6 or better. (2 teams being subtracted for the semi-final champs going to the NC bowl.)
Last year, 2013, there were 79 bowl eligible teams so if the same number were to qualify this year then yes teams like GS and ODU would stay home. However, in both 2012 and 2011 only 72 teams were bowl eligible. If that were to happen this year then 4 additional teams would need to be found to make up the numbers. Transitional teams like GS and ODU are chosen before 5-7 teams per NCAA rule so it is probably safe to say that things haven't yet settled enough to determine if a 6+ win transitional team makes or misses a bowl.
Also worth mentioning, APR issues this year may make even fewer teams than usual available for bowls I believe.
2011: http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/bowl_..._2011.html
2012: http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/bowl_..._2012.html
2013: http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/bowl_..._2013.html
Remains to be seen whether last year was an aberration or the new normal because there are more teams.
One thing that was huge last year was the number of 0 to 3 win teams.
NC State went 3-9. Lost to UNC by 8. UNC got eligible at 6-6
Western Michigan went 1-11 lost to Central Michigan by 5, CMU made it to 6-6
Kentucky 2-10 lost to Miss St by 6 Bulldogs eligible at 6-6
Arkansas 3-9 lost to Rutgers by 4 eligible at 6-6
Ga.St 0-12 lost to Troy by 7 Troy eligible at 6-6
Ga.St. 0-12 lost to Texas State by 7 Bobcats eligible at 6-6.
That's six teams eligible by beating a team with 3 or fewer wins in a one possession game.
Then when you look at teams who made it to 6 or more wins with multiple wins over teams with three or fewer wins (although not in as close games), the impact of a particularly large number of low win teams was big.
There were 28 teams with three or fewer wins last year. There were 24 in 2012 and 22 in 2011.