Future looks bleak
It has been stated that NIU has aspirations of being the midwest version of Boise State - the midmajor program consistently on the cusp of being a national power, albeit on a smaller scale. While the last few years have certainly raised the national profile, there is cause for concern.
NIU has had the great fortune of identifing a trio of coaches - Joe Novak, Jerry Kill, and Dave Doeren - who have all played a significant role in leading the program to national prominence. Sadly, the current coach has started a downward spiral that has to frighten Huskie fans.
Problems began immediately in the Carey tenure. To the surprise of many, the NIU defense proved stout in the Orange Bowl. If not for Coach Carey's insistence in pounding Jordan Lynch up the gut time and time again, we may have witnessed a different result. It was no great secret that the Florida State interior line was bigger and more athletic than any NIU had faced - yet they went after them like they were playing Central Michigan. It is the responsibility of the head coach to make game plans and adjustments based on an opponents strengths, weaknesses, and tendencies. This was the first glimpse of Coach Carey's inability to be proactive in his game management. Does anyone really think if Dave Doeren was still at the helm the NIU offense would have struggled so mightily?
The second signature loss for Carey was the undressing in the MAC title game. The disparity on the preparedness of the two teams was startling. Bowling Green outplayed NIU, obviously, but of more concern was how badly NIU was outcoached. It is one thing for a defense to give up big plays - it is a different thing entirely when a defense is beaten because opposing receivers are consistently BEHIND a zone. It was inexplicable that the Huskies could not make adjustments to counter what Bowling Green was doing to them. From the opening moments of that game, NIU appeared ill-prepared to take on the Falcons and Carey's inability to lead a team cost the program a second consecutive BCS bowl and millions of dollars.
Questionable game management decisions are also a concern. The concept of a fake punt is to achieve the desired result of a play through deception. The fake punt against Arkansas was almost comical it was so obvious NIU was running it. While we are at it, who thought it was a good idea to attempt a 63 yard field goal in the Bowling Green game with a kicker who could barely make an extra point? And maybe, just maybe, can we retire the silly pooch kick?
These are nit-picky things, but having an unsettled quarterback situation five weeks into the season is inexcusable. There is a reason no team EVER has employed a rotating QB system with success. In fact, the concept has rarely been attempted because it is fundamentally unsound. Football is a game of timing, continuity, nuance and rhythm. None of these can be easily achieved without a consistent presence under center. The rotating quarterback system screams amateurish, gimmicky, and more appropriate for a Pop Warner team than a team that should be aspiring to play in significant bowl games.
Carey supporters will point to the win/loss record as proof this coaching regime is steering the ship properly. However, NIU is significantly more talented than the inferior teams of the MAC and there is not a single one of these games that should not have been a win. What should bring pause is how NIU has struggled to win games that should have been walks in the park. Idaho, Eastern Illinois, and Kent State immediately come to mind. Again, a coaching staff that does not have a superior team prepared will eventually suffer the repercussions of their deficiencies.
Whether or not you agree with me, one thing should stand out and speak volumes. In an era where mid major coaches are stolen away by bigger schools as quickly as they can put together one good season - Carey is still in DeKalb. Has anyone even heard rumors he is being courted by any other school? No other program is interested in a coach that is better suited to work in high school.
|