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RE: Big Time AAC Football
(09-23-2014 01:30 PM)BullsFanInTX Wrote: (09-23-2014 11:53 AM)AppManDG Wrote: (09-23-2014 09:35 AM)BullsFanInTX Wrote: I will chime in here.
USF attendance is pathetic right now to many factors. Being relegated from BCS is one. Winning 2 games last year is another. Playing in a torrential downpour is another. An angry/apathetic fan base due to the above is another. No excuses for that, those are just fact.
Having said that, you do realize that USF average 50K fans a game for several years running, don't you. Here are the top attended USF games, most coming between the years 2007-2010 in the Big East when USF was winning and playing better competition.
USF top 20 home crowds:
1._______69,383_ _______Florida St._ ___________ 9/29/12_______ FSU______ 30-17
2._______67,012_ _______West Virginia_ _________ 9/28/07_______ USF______ 21-13
3._______66,469_ _______Miami_ ____________ 11/28/09_______ UM______ 31-10
4._______65,948_ _______UCF_______________ 10/13/07_______ USF______ 64-12
5._______63,976_ _______Cincinnati_ __________ 10/15/09_______ UC_ _____ 34-17
6._______58,755_ _______Kansas_ _____________ 9/12/08_______ USF______ 37-34
7._______57,379_ _______Cincinnati_ ___________ 11/3/07_______ UC_ _____ 38-33
8._______57,288_ _______Louisville____________ 11/17/07_______ USF______ 55-17
9._______56,328_ _______West Virginia_ ________ 10/30/09_______ USF______ 30-19
10._ _____51,384_ _______Syracuse____________ 10/18/08_______ USF______ 45-13
11._ _____50,307_ _______Pittsburgh____________ 10/2/08_______ Pitt______ 26-21
12._ _____49,388_ _______Louisville____________ 11/21/09_______ USF______ 34-22
13._ _____49,212_ _______Kentucky Wesleyan_______ 9/6/97*_______ USF______ 80-3
14._______ 48,058_________ UT-Martin_______________ 8/30/08________ USF_______ 56-7
15._______ 47,216_________ Rutgers_ ______________ 11/15/08________ RU_ ______ 49-16
16._ _____45,274_ _______West Virginia_ _________ 12/3/05_______WVU_ ____ 28-13
17._ _____45,139_ _______UCF________________ 9/17/05_______ USF______ 31-14
18._ _____44,219_ _______Rutgers______________ 9/13/12_______ RU______ 23-13
19._ _____43,122_ _______Florida A&M___________ 9/10/05_______ USF______ 37-3
20._______ 42,422_________ UConn________________ 10/23/08________ USF_______ 17-13
Of those top twenty crowds 10 were against Big East teams no longer on USF's schedule. Only three teams on that list will make regular visits to Raymond James. Two of those were for UCF which is obviously going to draw big crowds Furthermore, 14 of those crowds came in a 3 year stretch of 2007-08-09, USF's glory years in the Big East. Other than the #1 crowd, where Nole fans outnumbered Bulls fans, there has only been 1 game added to the list in 4 years.
Two years as a 1-A independent USF averaged 26,000. Two years in CUSA 28,800. In eight years playing the Big East USF averaged in the 30's two years, 40's four years and 50's two years. First year in AAC less than 35K. Four home games into the second AAC season against a FCS, Big Ten, ACC & AAC team USF is averaging 29,137 (if you want to believe there were 28,723 for the UConn game in the picture). The game against FCS Western Carolina drew the largest of the year @ 31,642. There is a reason behind USF's decline in attendance and it's not just W's & L's.
Other than UCF, Cinn and ECU there are no other AAC games which will bring out big crowds to Raymond James. Occasional games with FSU, Miami and UF will bring out big numbers, but for the most part I believe USF's big attendance years are over. Fans are fickle in big city markets. When USF was in the Big East it rivaled the ACC in status. That isn't the case with the AAC.
I'm not totally disagreeing with you, I only posted what has happened in the past, and what is possible in the future under the right circumstances. If USF wins big again and schedules smartly (ie. brings in top OOC opponents), there's no reason why USF can't draw 45-50K again, IMO. If you know anything about Tampa, it's a bandwagon town. Win, and fans will flock in. Lose, and out they go. That's just the way it is.
USF has Florida State and UCF obviously on future schedules. ECU, Conn, and Cinn could draw well under the right situation (not in a torrential downpour coming off a 2 win season). While I somewhat agree with your premise, I do believe USF can rebound partially or even completely to 2007-10 levels with wins. It will happen. Attendance is poor to say the least right now. No argument there.
If USF had an OCS we wouldnt even be having this discussion. Overall I could live with USFs history and upside.
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