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For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
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john01992 Offline
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For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
09-09-2014 07:31 PM
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oklalittledixie Offline
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RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Nice try Johnny
09-09-2014 07:32 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
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09-09-2014 07:34 PM
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UofMemphis Away
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Post: #4
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
We'll find out in November... Unlike Okla, I don't claim to be able to see into the future.

It will be close, and if I had to guess: 50-50 split.
09-09-2014 07:46 PM
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Stick4489 Offline
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Post: #5
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate


09-09-2014 07:47 PM
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Cali_Cat Offline
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Post: #6
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Don't worry John, the cry baby cons dismissed all the polling for President in 2012 that clearly showed Obama would win somewhat convincingly!!! They claimed those polls were phony and biased!!! We see how that turned out...03-lmfao
(This post was last modified: 09-09-2014 08:10 PM by Cali_Cat.)
09-09-2014 08:09 PM
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rc0213 Offline
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Post: #7
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
LOL, NYer is your source!!!! LOL LOL Great joke!
09-09-2014 08:10 PM
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pharaoh0 Offline
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RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
(09-09-2014 08:10 PM)rc0213 Wrote:  LOL, NYer is your source!!!! LOL LOL Great joke!

^^^^This.
09-09-2014 08:19 PM
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UofMstateU Offline
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Post: #9
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
If Obama believed democrats had a 70% chance of retaining the senate he would not have postponed amnesty for illegals.
09-09-2014 08:22 PM
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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Post: #10
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Why not quote the Daily KOS as a source, it's about as objective as The New Yorker.
09-09-2014 08:37 PM
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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Post: #11
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
(09-09-2014 07:31 PM)john01992 Wrote:  http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/...rol-senate

only democrat backed poll nice. Fair and Balanced.
09-09-2014 08:38 PM
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UofMstateU Offline
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Post: #12
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
(09-09-2014 08:37 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  Why not quote the Daily KOS as a source, it's about as objective as The New Yorker.

The daily kos does not lay the odds anywhere nearly as good.

I didn't read the article, but it sounds like an article that was released about a week ago. The seventy percent odds were not based on polling, but "special sauce".
09-09-2014 08:57 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #13
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Unskewed Polls?????

Where's Nate Silver when I need him?
09-09-2014 09:00 PM
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EagleX Offline
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Post: #14
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
this is a perfect example of why you should have disdain for anyone that just throws a link into the forum and runs away declaring victory; they almost never actually read the material. the OP certainly didn't read this one, or, which is more likely, is simply out to cause trouble.

even for the rectum-tickling that the newyorker typically performs on liberals, that's just not what it says.
09-09-2014 10:36 PM
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EagleX Offline
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Post: #15
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
the NYT (the freaking NYT, for FUX sake) has it 60-40 for republican control . . . and they have NC in the wrong place, AND this "assessment" was done before the dem in CO shot himself in the dick Saturday.
09-09-2014 10:45 PM
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Kronke Offline
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Post: #16
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Hmm, a partisan, politard blog says the Dems are 70% favorites.

Meanwhile, the bookmakers (who must accurately project outcomes for the sake of their business) have the Reps as a 1/3 favorite and the Dems as a 2/1 underdog.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-p...-of-senate

03-shhhh
(This post was last modified: 09-10-2014 01:03 AM by Kronke.)
09-10-2014 12:58 AM
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Doctor Krieger Offline
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Post: #17
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
John, why does Nate Silver's site have the Reps having a 62% chance of taking over the senate? http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senat...ed-states/
09-10-2014 08:23 AM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #18
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
then you go with Kronke. The best predictor is money! I really miss that intrade site.
09-10-2014 08:28 AM
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LSU04_08 Offline
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Post: #19
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
(09-09-2014 07:31 PM)john01992 Wrote:  http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/...rol-senate

You'll need to learn this.


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09-10-2014 08:32 AM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #20
RE: For Dixie: Democrats Now Have a 70% Chance of Retaining Control of the Senate
Also, Just read Nate's Blog. 62% chance the R's take the Senate. Go with Nate. He's the best in the biz.
09-10-2014 08:32 AM
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