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Hoekjeness Offline
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Post: #1
Purdue/Prediction
From various sources online...

Key returnees:
Danny Etling, QB (young, bright future)
Justin Sinz, TE (hoss, led the team in receptions and receiving TD's)
Raheem Mostert RB/KR. (fast, explosive, dangerous)
Ryan Russel, DE (high upside but inconsistent in the past)

Offensive line is a big weakness for them, especially on the edges. Supposedly their kick/punt coverage was horrendous last year as well.

Running backs are a big question mark heading into this year, but they have talent and potential.

Not much returning on defense although they do have one good pass rusher (Russell). They've lost key guys in the trenches on both sides of the ball and the rest of their defense is very vulnerable. Their 3rd year returning CB Frankie Williams will probably match up against Corey Davis. I don't think Davis gets shut down completely, but that will be a match-up to keep an eye on. Might leave other guys open over the middle, and we should take those 5-8 yards dink and dunks all day if they're giving them to us.

Purdue has a decent group of wide receivers, but we have a strong secondary. This battle could be interesting.

Purdue opened Big Ten play last season by getting outscored 158-17 during the first half of league play.

Per Sagarin, Purdue was worse than 44 teams from the FCS. Here are some teams that ranked ahead of Purdue (No. 157) in Jeff Sagarin's inclusive FBS/FCS rankings: Montana State, Samford, Murray State, Brown, South Carolina State, Dartmouth, Harvard, and Princeton.

Etling was sacked 31 times last season in 8 games.

Purdue is coming off the worst season in program history. Eleven losses in total, a program record. The defense allowed 456 points, likewise a new low. The offense managed just 179 points, the Boilermakers' worst total during a 12-game season.

***

If we're going to beat them, we are going to need to put up some points. I think somewhere in the ballpark of 31-35. That's asking a lot considering last year's offense, but I also think Purdue's defense is pretty bad so it's not totally out of the question.

Best-case scenario: We shock Purdue early and often and knock them off their feet (quick turnover, or quick score on first drive), they go into shell-shock mode, and opening day crowd is taken right out of the game. Purdue fights back in the end but it's not enough. Broncos win 38-31.

Worst-case scenario: The complete opposite... Purdue comes out of the gates firing and we never recover. Boilers win in a blowout and we get some garbage time points to make it look closer than it really is. Boilermakers win 48-21.

Prediction: I think we land somewhere in the middle. Purdue does come out firing and goes up 14-0 quickly. We're a young team, we eventually settle in and start making some plays but spend the rest of the game trying to play catch up. It's respectable, but Purdue walks away winning comfortably. Boilers win 38-24.
08-23-2014 01:32 PM
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ColinApocalypse Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Purdue/Prediction
I think it'll be a hard-fought game that could come down to fields goals in the 4th quarter. Purdue is worse than they've ever been (so are we), so if there's a time to steal one from the B1G, it's NOW!
08-23-2014 01:41 PM
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New School Bronco Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Broncos win by 9
08-23-2014 01:44 PM
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flushtheherd Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Purdue/Prediction
I have a feeling (and probably from being a WMU fan for so many years) that Purdue is going to come out and throw up a quick 21 to 24 un-answered points... 10-14 as direct results from turnovers by WMU deep in their own zone...

Halftime will probably be somewhere in the range of Purdue - 24 WMU - 6. WMU will come out in the second half and get a quick 14 with 7 coming from a interception returned for a TD. Purdue will get another field goal before the fourth quarter. WMU will struggle to get much more going offensively and the defense stays stout the rest of the way... too little too late and WMU loses 27-20.

Apologists will claim its a moral victory siting the outscoring by WMU in the second half and the stout defensive stand in the last quarter. Fleck haters will use this as more ammo claiming that WMU came out un-prepared and spotted Purdue too many points on poor preparation early.

And the beat goes on...

I really hope I am wrong...
08-23-2014 01:45 PM
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Hoekjeness Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Haha flush... I can easily see that scenario playing out.
08-23-2014 01:49 PM
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Doo Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Purdue 24
WMU 10

Purdues defense isn't as bad as the numbers show. They were always on the field. Purdue went a month without running a play in the redzone. Let that sink in...a month.

Our O has not given us a reason to believe we are capable of big numbers.
(This post was last modified: 08-23-2014 01:56 PM by Doo.)
08-23-2014 01:52 PM
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DesertBronco Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Purdue 38
WMU 19

We will compete, get fg's. They'll get TD's.
08-23-2014 02:11 PM
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EA3 Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Purdue/Prediction
(08-23-2014 01:45 PM)flushtheherd Wrote:  I have a feeling (and probably from being a WMU fan for so many years) that Purdue is going to come out and throw up a quick 21 to 24 un-answered points... 10-14 as direct results from turnovers by WMU deep in their own zone...

Halftime will probably be somewhere in the range of Purdue - 24 WMU - 6. WMU will come out in the second half and get a quick 14 with 7 coming from a interception returned for a TD. Purdue will get another field goal before the fourth quarter. WMU will struggle to get much more going offensively and the defense stays stout the rest of the way... too little too late and WMU loses 27-20.

Apologists will claim its a moral victory siting the outscoring by WMU in the second half and the stout defensive stand in the last quarter. Fleck haters will use this as more ammo claiming that WMU came out un-prepared and spotted Purdue too many points on poor preparation early.

And the beat goes on...

I really hope I am wrong...

^ most likely of all scenarios.

I really hope you are wrong too.
08-23-2014 02:14 PM
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Hoekjeness Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Purdue/Prediction
One other notable: Kirk Barron (Ohio de-commit), Bearooz Yacoobi (NIU de-commit), Keiwan Jones, and Tim Cason (3-star CB who de-committed from WMU) - all very heavily recruited by Fleck in last year's class. I'd be curious to see if any of these guys see the field at any point. Probably unlikely.
08-23-2014 03:28 PM
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WMUSTL Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Purdue/Prediction
It will be a close game until the end, but Purdue 34 Broncos 21.

However, if we do end up winning, Hazell doesn't make it through the week.
08-23-2014 03:31 PM
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Doo Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Hazels is safe through year three regardless....trust me on that.
08-23-2014 03:39 PM
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Stampede your face!! Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Purdue/Prediction
(08-23-2014 02:11 PM)DesertBronco Wrote:  Purdue 38
WMU 19

We will compete, get fg's. They'll get TD's.

I agree with this. They will play hard, but have trouble sticking it in the endzone, though I see 38-17 with a missed field goal or two.
08-23-2014 04:39 PM
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Chipdip2 Offline
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Post: #13
RE: Purdue/Prediction
Mike Perish threw for 256 yards against them last year as Indiana State lost 20-14.

A lot of you are predicting big point production from them. The most points they scored all year was 36 against IU.

IU led 49-9 in the 3rd quarter. It was the last home game of the year fo IU, so they put in every walkon and 3rd stringer they had. At that point Purdue put up 26 in the 4th. In other words I don't see them putting anything close to 38 pts.
08-23-2014 07:07 PM
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DesertBronco Offline
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Post: #14
RE: Purdue/Prediction
I expect them to be better than they were last year. That and our defense was pourus last year, we couldn't make a crucial stop to save our lives.

Indiana State would have beat us last year.
08-23-2014 07:24 PM
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Hoekjeness Offline
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Post: #15
RE: Purdue/Prediction
(08-23-2014 07:24 PM)DesertBronco Wrote:  I expect them to be better than they were last year. That and our defense was pourus last year, we couldn't make a crucial stop to save our lives.

Indiana State would have beat us last year.

Gawd... I agree. I have to 03-puke every time this occurs. But that was exactly the rationale behind my prediction.
08-23-2014 07:29 PM
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DesertBronco Offline
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RE: Purdue/Prediction
STFU bullet.
08-23-2014 07:30 PM
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Chipdip2 Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Purdue/Prediction
(08-23-2014 07:24 PM)DesertBronco Wrote:  I expect them to be better than they were last year. That and our defense was pourus last year, we couldn't make a crucial stop to save our lives.

Indiana State would have beat us last year.

Mike Perish backed up TVT. He threw for 256 against Purdue.
08-23-2014 07:33 PM
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DesertBronco Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Purdue/Prediction
That was last year, you always say how you can't go by last year right? Perish prolly would have thrown for less against us last year because they could gain seven yards a pop on the ground.
08-23-2014 07:52 PM
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Chipdip2 Offline
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Post: #19
RE: Purdue/Prediction
(08-23-2014 07:52 PM)DesertBronco Wrote:  That was last year, you always say how you can't go by last year right? Perish prolly would have thrown for less against us last year because they could gain seven yards a pop on the ground.

DB: "Perish was TVT's back up? Lance Parrish? Who is this Perish? Oh well, I'll just write something snarky and hope nobody notices."
08-23-2014 08:14 PM
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DesertBronco Offline
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RE: Purdue/Prediction
Huh?
08-23-2014 08:26 PM
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