(08-19-2014 05:49 PM)BamaScorpio69 Wrote:  

(08-19-2014 05:28 PM)BruceMcF Wrote:  

(08-19-2014 10:56 AM)NIU007 Wrote:  It looks to me like we're only ahead of the Sun Belt. With the contract being so long, wouldn't be surprised if they also leap-frog us eventually.

Though with the CUSA that signed its last contract a substantially different anime to the one that signed the current one, when CUSA's next contract comes around, that might result in us leap-frogging CUSA. While standing still.

That ain't gonna happen. If anything, the current payout for CUSA teams will remain the same in a new TV deal. There is absolutely no way in hell CUSA teams will drop below $666,000 in TV revenue per school no matter what you think of the recent additions to the conference.

Who is going to bid on CUSA?

CBS pays half the bills for CUSA and they want out evidenced by the fact that they take less and less games each year and replace them with licensing from AAC for dirt cheap. ESPN can now license MAC games to them to replace the last 7 games that they are broadcasting for CUSA now and give them to them for much, much less then the $7 million per year they pay CUSA. That $7 million is half of the total TV deal for CUSA unless Fox decides to pay double what they are now just to keep CUSA even.

ESPN isnt bidding on CUSA and NBC is full with MLS, NASCAR, CAA, and Premier League now.

Who knows what will happen with CUSA. CBS is using less right now, as CUSA lost a lot of it selling power to the AAC. Bottom line is they still will provide some fairly inexpensive filler programing. NBC may want some cheap programing for the network they were starting.

Market direction has been up, and not down. I don't see them getting big raise there, but they may hold on to what they have, or even get a minor boost.
The AAC might be the next one to watch. with the 3 year look in. Could well do an extension then. Bump in rates for more years.

(08-19-2014 10:23 PM)Miami (Oh) Yeah ! Wrote:  Who is going to bid on CUSA?

That's the main issue that CUSA faces ... they have media revenue coming from multiple contracts, so good news on one can be offset by bad news on the other. I'd assume they'll make more from Fox when that contract comes up for renewable, but I do wonder how much CBS will need CUSA v3.0 games to complement their MWC contract if a regular supply of AAC games are available to be sublicensed from ESPN. And sublicensing AAC FB has the benefit of building the brand among those who include the CBSSN in their cable flip through sequence for the AAC BBall contract that CBS holds.

I wouldn't go so far as to predict a drop in media revenue ... just noting that a strong increase is not as much of a lead pipe cinch as one would normally think for this media market.