(07-06-2014 07:25 PM)CougarRed Wrote: 1. Huh? First, I just proved where that extra game is played makes a huge difference. Second, you can't dodge the best team in the other division when you have a championship game.
In 2012 both SEC title participants missed the top THREE in the opposite division. Do either make it thee with a different schedule?
You isolate the title game as the exception but what about the other teams? Also without even schedules it's less than clear if those two are really the best two in some cases.
Quote:2. You thought I meant a 3-team conference that plays 2 total games? Perhaps I was unclear. I meant a 3-team conference that plays each other 4 times (8 games).
Just so we are crystal clear, you believe that:
1) an average school in a 3-team conference that plays each other four times (or a 4-team conference that plays each other three times)
will win its conference title on the same number of times every 100 years as:
2) an average school in an 18-team conference with two divisions where each division plays each other with zero cross division games, and then the two division winners meet in a title game.
Ummmmmmmmm, no.
That isn't my argument. My argument is that which format is tougher depends on the teams being compared and who they specifically had to play.
An extreme example of that is how the 10 team big 12 will be a pretty good bet to be tougher than the 14 team CUSA. To a lesser degree the same comparisons happen in the P5.
There were years when the 10 team Pac10 may have been tougher than some or all the 12 team leagues.
Quote:Look, I know you are defensive because Baylor didn't win the Big 12 until it became a smaller 10-team league. Not until after Nebraska, A&M, Colorado and Missouri left and were replaced with two schools that clearly did not have the talent base to compete right away for the Big 12 title.
So you don't want to admit that Baylor's championship was easier to obtain as a result. I get why this is difficult for you.
Whether we would have won before or not isn't an issue I even thought on. At the time we were so disjointed in handling our own business it's impossible to know how we'd do with the better coaching, facilities, recruiting, and admin we have now. When you have the bad run we did it's about much more than league scheduling formats.
We beat some good teams in 2013 (ask Bama, Asu, ND, and Michigan) and managed to win it while losing several key players down the stretch. I frankly don't care how we'd do under the old format. Some years we'd stand a good chance and others probably less. Too many variables such as injuries and other factors.
Also holding up Colorado (seen them lately?) as evidence of a better team than the replacements is funny.
Besides it's technically easier for a non-power to win the league in the old format- be the lesser record team to qualify for the title game and pull an upset. I believe USM did that to you guys in 2011 and it's how Texas got the first Big 12 title with a 9-5 record over the Huskers. In the old format you could lose 3 or more games in league play and still luck your way into a title with one key upset paired with favorable schedule help in the standings taking out your competition- not so now.
Quote:But you can't argue in the face of logic. You are simply wrong on this issue. Bigger conferences are harder to win. Smaller conferences are easier to win.
My argument is that it depends on the team and the year as it always does. Neither format is inherently tougher.
The 2012 season of the 10 team Big 12 was tougher to win than the 2006 12 team league due to the depth (everyone but KU could realistically take out a top 30 team and went to a bowl where 2006 was a down year across the board) and weaker years in the 10 team model would not top how tough a year 2008 was where you had 3+ teams in either division that were really good and could challenge in most years.
My point has been that it depends on the specific year and teams involved.
Really the only mathematical thing you can say is that the round robin puts the B12 at a disadvantage in qualifying. Forcing the league to absorb extra losses due to everyone playing everyone drops the good teams in the polls compared to divisional formats which prevents as many big on big matchups and the built in losses that go with them.