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How does this make any sense?
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dmacfour Offline
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Post: #1
How does this make any sense?
Wouldn't greater uncertainty also mean that there's a higher likelihood that things could be better than expected? This is why I hate psychology so much sometimes. Many areas of psych are so intertwined with politics/policy that they no longer deserve to be considered science.

Quote:They show that as uncertainty in the temperature increase expected with a doubling of CO2 from pre-industrial levels rises, so do the economic damages of increased climate change. Greater uncertainty also increases the likelihood of exceeding 'safe' temperature limits and the probability of failing to reach mitigation targets. The authors highlight this with the case of future sea level, as larger uncertainty in sea level rise requires greater precautionary action to manage flood risk.

Quote:Co-author, Dr James Risbey of Australia’s CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, said: "Some point to uncertainty as a way to minimize the climate change problem, when in fact it means that the problem is more likely to be worse than expected in the absence of that uncertainty. This result is robust to a range of assumptions and shows that uncertainty does not excuse inaction."

http://www.bristol.ac.uk/news/2014/clima...ainty.html
(This post was last modified: 04-06-2014 06:48 PM by dmacfour.)
04-06-2014 06:35 PM
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oklalittledixie Offline
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Post: #2
RE: How does this make any sense?
What?
04-06-2014 07:20 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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Post: #3
RE: How does this make any sense?
(04-06-2014 07:20 PM)oklalittledixie Wrote:  What?

What the article says that if there's doubt about global warming that proves global warming is real. It's another desperate left wing Hail Mary to keep the money flowing.
04-06-2014 07:25 PM
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oklalittledixie Offline
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Post: #4
RE: How does this make any sense?
(04-06-2014 07:25 PM)smn1256 Wrote:  
(04-06-2014 07:20 PM)oklalittledixie Wrote:  What?

What the article says that if there's doubt about global warming that proves global warming is real. It's another desperate left wing Hail Mary to keep the money flowing.

It looks like Bristol University is trying to indoctrinate by presenting an agenda within the course of study.
04-06-2014 07:28 PM
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dmacfour Offline
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Post: #5
RE: How does this make any sense?
(04-06-2014 07:25 PM)smn1256 Wrote:  
(04-06-2014 07:20 PM)oklalittledixie Wrote:  What?

What the article says that if there's doubt about global warming that proves global warming is real. It's another desperate left wing Hail Mary to keep the money flowing.

That's not what they're saying at all (what they're saying is still stupid, though). What they're saying ends up reminding me of Pascal's Wager.
(This post was last modified: 04-06-2014 07:56 PM by dmacfour.)
04-06-2014 07:53 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: How does this make any sense?
(04-06-2014 07:53 PM)dmacfour Wrote:  
(04-06-2014 07:25 PM)smn1256 Wrote:  
(04-06-2014 07:20 PM)oklalittledixie Wrote:  What?

What the article says that if there's doubt about global warming that proves global warming is real. It's another desperate left wing Hail Mary to keep the money flowing.

That's not what they're saying at all (what they're saying is still stupid, though). What they're saying ends up reminding me of Pascal's Wager.

I put my spin on their spin.
04-06-2014 08:31 PM
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QuestionSocratic Offline
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Post: #7
RE: How does this make any sense?
It took a couple of reads but what he is saying is: uncertainty may lead to lack of action which then increases the possibility of the bad stuff happening.
04-06-2014 08:34 PM
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