(06-01-2014 01:16 PM)WKUYG Wrote: (06-01-2014 12:25 PM)Dawg06 Wrote: To the WKU guy, there is no comparison between C-USA hoops and Belch hoops. C-USA has a lot more depth at the top of the conference, and the Belch has more poor programs at the bottom that you'd consider automatic wins. I'm not saying WKU can't come in and compete for championships immediately because I think they can. However, C-USA will be much tougher to win than any Belch title in the last quarter century.
2013-14 Final KenPom Rankings
Tier 1
34 Louisiana Tech
56 Southern Miss
63 Georgia State
80 Middle Tennessee
96 UTEP
Tier 2
116 LA-Lafayette
156 UAB
168 Arkansas State
170 Old Dominion
178 Charlotte
181 WKU
Tier 3
215 TX-Arlington
221 FIU
225 AR-Little Rock
229 North Texas
244 Florida Atlantic
247 Troy
251 Marshall
264 South Alabama
270 LA-Monroe
281 Texas State
289 Georgia Southern
Tier 4
310 UTSA
315 Rice
331 Appalachian State
Do you honestly think those ranking mean anything to next season? Most of those rankings are based off of OOC winning% because once you enter conference play the conference will finish .500 (1 team wins, 1 loses...in every conference game)
Another thing rankings don't take into count of is injuries...
every teams has them but a injury to key players or two key players is not the same as losing your 7 or 10 player. Do those ranking take into account 2 of Western top 4 players (mins/ppg) didn't play for the first 10 games?..no they don't.
All I know is 2 Tier 2 SBC schools beat the top 2 Tier 1 schools on your list...with UL-L beating the top team by I believe 9 points on your homecourt.
When you use last years rankings to project next year there are TWO MAJOR problems...
some schools will have just about every key player back while some others will lose a lot of key starters. Those are the major problem with using it to project the future. Another is..a school might just lack one key part before taking that next step. In college basketball one player can make that much of a difference.
The key is getting that player...past ranking can't project either way on that.
Dude. I didn't project next year. I labeled it as 2013-14 rankings to show exactly what I labeled them as: 2013-14 rankings. You posted shooting percentages for each team as if that means anything. Get a clue.
You totally missed the point. I was showing the
depth that C-USA has compared to the Belch. There are eight legit MBB programs in C-USA. Eight can win this thing any given year. Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee, UTEP, UAB, Old Dominion, Charlotte, WKU. If you play average to poorly against any of those teams, you will likely lose. Has the Belch had half that depth in the past 25 years? No.
You also show a lack of knowledge of KenPom because those rankings don't have anything to do with OOC winning percentage. This isn't RPI.
And don't bring that lucky ULL team into this. We played ULL as our 5th game in a 10 day stretch while they took an entire week off before playing us. Our guys were physically and mentally drained coming into that game while ULL came in fresh. This is basketball. One game does not a season make. We were the far superior team as our performance over the course of the entire season supports. No only that, this was ULL's first winning season in a decade. But this goes back to my point about the depth of C-USA and how tough it will be to win the conference because C-USA has many more teams as good or better than ULL was. If the best team isn't on top of their game, they can and will lose to any of those eight top teams.
Injuries... blah blah blah... Did you know Tech lost our leading scorer of 2.5 seasons for conference play after an FAU player tackled him during C-USA opening weekend? Probably not, but that beside the point because I was only showing last year's performance, not project next year.