RE: Official Game Thread: CIT Round 1 vs Chattanooga
This is the perfect transition game for the Bucs – goodbye to the ASun, hello to the SoCon. But they had better be ready for it.
I get the feeling that too many people have already written this down as a win. The Mocs started the season struggling, but were 12-4 in the SoCon (5-3 on the road). They are a little like Lipscomb with lots of physical 6’4” – 6’5” guys who can score. Guys like that have been hard for us to defend.
But they have length and rebounding inside that Lipscomb does not (6’6” 235 Z. Mason and 6’7” 225 Lance Stokes). They have a +2.0 rebounding margin compared to -3.2 for ETSU. They knock down 6 blocks in SoCon play compared to 2.7 for the Bucs. The Bucs had better bring their A game or they’ll end a better-than-expected season on a real down note.
The Mocs play an 8 man rotation: 4 guys (Mason, Casey Jones, Ronrico White and Gee McGhee) get 27 to 32 minutes. 6’7” 225 Lance Stokes gets 24. Greg Pryor and Martynas Bareika get 18. Eric Robertson gets 14. They rarely use anyone else.
4 guys shoot 3’s, including star big man Z. Mason (40-115 .348) who will take 3 a game. Other shooters are Ronrico White (35-90 .389), Martynas Bareika (54-152 .355) and Eric Robertson (28-69 ..406). Casey Jones doesn’t shoot 3’s (0-2 on the year), nor do Lance Stokes, Gee McGhee or Greg Pryor.
5 of the 8 guys are excellent free throw shooters (.707 as a team) and they get to the line a lot (26.4 attempts per game). One is bad - big Lance Stokes (.500) – and 2 not so hot, Eric Robertson and Gee McGhee at .630. The Bucs have an edge at the line in percentage (.781 in conference) but don’t get to the line quite as much (25.3 attempts).
UTC goes for the steal (7 per game vs 7.6 for the Bucs). They don’t turn it over much (12.4 to opponents 12.8 for a -0.4 margin). But the Bucs have an edge here with a +2.2 margin (11.9 – 14.1).
FRONT COURT: 6’6” 235 Sr. Z. Mason (32 min., 18.0 ppg, .367 from 3, 9.5 rebounds, 3 blocks); 6’7” 225 Jr. Lance Stokes (24.5 min., 4.1 ppg, 3.7 rebounds). This will be a real test for Hunter Harris. He (and Murry) need to watch the fouls. Lukas will have a very important job to do here – not a lot of minutes, but he’s got to help us match up against these two guys. Give Banks some minutes if necessary – see if he can perform like Devin Harris did. Hunter has been very up and down this year. Now is the time for one of his exceptional games.
BACK COURT: 6’3” 170 Jr. Ronrico White (27 min., 13.2 ppg, .389 from 3); 6’1” 195 Fr. Greg Pryor (18.4 min., 5.6 ppg, .167 from 3), 6’4” 200 So. Eric Robertson (13.6 min., 3.2 ppg)
Nobody averages even 3 assists.
SWING MEN: 6’5” 200 So. Casey Jones (31.2 min., 14.3 ppg, no 3’s, 7.1 rebounds), 6’4” 205 So. Gee McGhee (31 minutes, 9.8 points, .243 from 3, 5.1 rebounds). No 3 point shooting from these guys.
This is a statement game for the Bucs. I’d hate to see this season end with a whimper. We need to make a statement for the benefit of the SOCon next year, and take this season out with some real energy and get something to build on for next year. This Bucs shot selection has deteriorated a bit in the last couple games. We need to go back to smarter decision making. Especially Jalen Riley and KGG, who could be very tough matchups for the Mocs, Jalen with quickness and KGG with size. Jalen ought to be able to blow by their bigger guards the way he did against Lipscomb. I’d love to see us go out with a lot of attacking energy and build on the spirit and enthusiasm on display at the Lipscomb game.
(This post was last modified: 03-16-2014 10:39 AM by swvabucsfan.)
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