JSF
Rich, Good Looking, Has a Rapist Wit
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Pomeroy's Championship Odds
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| 03-09-2014 07:04 PM |
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chipfan
1st String
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RE: Pomeroy's Championship Odds
It looks like my Chippewas at least have a mathematical shot at the Championship!
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| 03-09-2014 07:12 PM |
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emu steve
Legend
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RE: Pomeroy's Championship Odds
Good stuff.
I calculated my odds but I didn't make the odds of individual games so pronounced. E.g., I think I was using EMU and Ohio .75 over CMU and BSU. I'm not a big fan of making a team like EMU a 90+% win probability, unless the opponent is say NAIA, D-II, etc. That said, giving a team with 2 or 3 conference wins a 25% chance of winning is pretty generous.
I don't like how he labeled the columns. It should be rnd1, rnd2, quarters, semis, finals (or championship).
(This post was last modified: 03-09-2014 07:32 PM by emu steve.)
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| 03-09-2014 07:31 PM |
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BruceMcF
Hall of Famer
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RE: Pomeroy's Championship Odds
(03-09-2014 07:12 PM)chipfan Wrote: It looks like my Chippewas at least have a mathematical shot at the Championship!
"You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?"
"I'd say more like one out of a million."
[pause]
"So you're telling me there's a chance... YEAH!"
0.009 is just shy of 1 in 10,000, so almost a hundred times better than one in a million!
And Kent State has better than a 1 in 200 chance! Woot!
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| 03-09-2014 07:36 PM |
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