RE: Memphis could be this years UConn(Kemba)
I think Memphis can win it all this year, if they go on a run.
But the thing that always kills me about comparisons to that team made by a lot of fans (not the OP) is the emphasis people place on luck or getting hot. The actual record is always ignored. I just read about a Kentucky fan who mentioned that that UConn team didn't play good D, it just relied on clutch shots from Kemba. In reality, that was one of the best defensive teams of all time. Butler shot under 20% in the championship, and before you dismiss Butler, consider that UConn had Kentucky shoot under 30% the game before, and Arizona under 35% the game before that. That's 3 straight teams. When Zona played a top seed Duke team just before that, it shot 55% and blew them out.
Some of the myths:
1. "It was a one person team." If you believe Shabazz Napier is a NBA player, which I do, the team had 3 NBA guys with Kemba, Lamb and Napier. It had 3 quality college bigs in Okwandu at center (7 footer) and Oriakhi and Roscoe Smith (who leads the NCAA in rebounding this year), and several role players like Giffey.
2. "The had a mediocre regular season." In the BE, they went 9-9. One large reason is that Kemba wasn't getting any fouls called. The refs let them pay in the BE, like they always do. Kemba's shooting % dropped by 10%. Outside the regular season, UConn actually went 24-0. Undefeated. Without BE refs. They beat Wichita St., Michigan St, Kentucky (twice), Texas, Tennessee, Arizona, San Diego St. That's a stark difference from BE play.
3. "They came out of nowhere." They were ranked in the top 10 before the tourney and if you follow the ESPN fan brackets (tens of millions of them) they were the 4th most popular pick to win it all.
4. "They had an easy bracket." People say this because they drew Butler in the final, which was indeed an easier game than I thought it would be. Butler had beaten Pitt, Wisconsin and Florida however, and Florida was one of the favorites going in. San Diego St was high ranked all year, Arizona was probably the second best team in the tourney, and Kentucky wasn't bad either. UConn drew Cincy on the first weekend!
Given all this, it's not a fluky a championship as people make out. It would be a lot flukier if this year's UConn or Memphis teams can do it when you look at the balance of offensive/defensive efficiency stats , whcih have always been the keys in figuring out who the best teams are.
(This post was last modified: 02-16-2014 02:23 PM by upstater1.)
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