(01-02-2014 02:40 AM)pono Wrote: eastern and akron have as much talent as anyone but haven't had a lot of heart so far. we'll see if either team can come together and find their style and energy down the stretch. if either plays w abandon and teamwork they will be as good as anyone.
EMU's schedule has really hurt the team's to play up to its ability.
I would compare the schedule to a runner running a race full of up and down hills, which really hurts performance (an up hill and an down hill don't equal out). It is hard to run a PR (personal record) running that kind of course.
When someone tosses out the games vs. Kentucky, Duke and Syracuse (keeping UMass and Purdue) EMU looks like a pretty good team. No bad losses.
Sagarin has EMU's schedule at #12 overall in D-I. This is out of what 350+ D-I schools.
Guys, try to be 'logical' about OOC schedules and what we can infer from the results of those games.
Schedules which are 'outliers', i.e., too hard (e.g., too many difficult teams, too many road games, etc.) or too soft (e.g, too many weak opponents, too many home games, etc.) obscure how good or how bad a team might be.
The best way to 'predict' MAC success would be if teams played a composite 'Sagarin' schedule difficulty of say 90 - 175, essentially the 3rd highest quartile.
Most of the 'big boys' like to schedule soft in the OOC schedule because they can and also their conference schedules are very tough.
Why would Duke and Syracuse want to schedule a bunch of Sweet 16 caliber teams? What do they gain? Why take a 50 - 50 chance of losing those games...