(12-27-2013 07:30 PM)stever20 Wrote: (12-27-2013 07:22 PM)orangefan Wrote: (12-27-2013 07:16 PM)stever20 Wrote: they can pick up an at large bid, but it can't be as the top g5 team. That's for a g5 conference champion.
Correct. Outside of the semifinal slots, though, in some years there will be as few as one at-large slot available.
yep- the 3rd year that's guaranteed to be the case. Year 1 got 1 guaranteed spot, and then up to 4 more available(if conference champ from Big 10,Big 12, P12, SEC make playoff, spot becomes available). Year 2 got 2 available spots, and if ACC champ makes playoff, 3rd becomes available.
Interesting way to look at it.
2014-15 (Rose/Sugar)-ACC/ND Orange, B1G, B12, SEC, PAC, G5
2015-16 (Orange/Cotton)-B1G/PAC Rose, B12/SEC Sugar, ACC, G5
2016-17 (Fiesta/Peach)-B1G/PAC Rose, B12/SEC Sugar, ACC/ND Orange, G5
2014-15 (1 at large bid)
2015-16 (2 at large bids)
2016-17 (1 at large bid)
This is assuming that the playoff participants aren't champs of a P5 conference.....if they are conference champs then its different numbers.
2014-15 (6 at large bids)
2015-16 (6 at large bids)
2016-17 (5 at large bids)
I've run the numbers before and to pick up an at-large bid to the CFP a Top 8 rating will probably do it. This is taking a look at the numbers going back to 2005 from the Harris Poll.