(12-02-2013 12:43 PM)Attackcoog Wrote: (12-02-2013 11:04 AM)MechaKnight Wrote: Whether or not SMU and Rutgers get bowl eligible will have no bearing on if ECU plays in the Belk Bowl. We currently have 4 eligible teams and the Belk bowl is one of our top 4 bowls.
The only way I see ECU playing in the Belk Bowl is if the AAC gets the HoD Bowl and $500k from CUSA (the difference in payout). This would allow Houston to play in Dallas against a Big Ten team and ECU to play in Charlotte against an ACC team.
However, CUSA might not be on board with this. It would mean giving their #2 bowl to a departing member who didn't even win their division. Even if Rice goes to the Liberty Bowl and Marshall wants the Military bowl for travel reasons, you still have UTSA and UNT available for the HoD bowl.
More good points. Like I said, there are just too many hurdles to overcome and too many teams (and bowls) that have to willing step aside and take a lesser bowl (or team) for this to ever happen. Schools and bowls do what is in their own best interests---I just don't see conferences, schools, and bowls suddenly becoming charitable enough to make this happen.
It was stated earlier this season that the Heart of Dallas Bowl would take the best CUSA West team available, whether that was the division champion or the second place team if the division champion went to the Liberty Bowl. Every indication out there suggests that the Heart of Dallas would be happy to have either Rice or North Texas. North Texas is probably rooting for a Rice win because a Rice loss likely means a trip to Hawaii or a scramble to find an at-large closer to home.
While we are on this subject, you can almost guarantee that the Hawaii Bowl will end up with a first year CUSA team. Likely either North Texas, for the reason stated above, or Middle Tennessee.
Middle Tennessee is an interesting case because their location makes for a potentially interesting matchup in Birmingham against either Mississippi school or possibly even Vanderbilt. Putting them here or them or North Texas in the Independence Bowl likely frees up the Beef for FAU.
I a not at all convinced that the Beef wants FAU. I would not be surprised to see that bowl insist on Middle Tennessee, but Middle Tennessee would likely get shipped off to Hawaii if Rice wins Saturday.
A Marshall loss on Saturday is where things get really interesting, because then the Military Bowl suddenly has both CUSA teams it wants available. The team that loses out on the Military Bowl would then either have to go to the Beef, or work out a deal for Birmingham or Shreveport, assuming that Middle Tennessee doesn't get picked instead and one of those two teams gets shipped to Hawaii.
Note that in virtually none of these realistic scenarios does ECU get to take over another conference's higher payout bowl against a higher picked ACC team. If I were them, I'd be rooting hard for Marshall on Saturday.