(11-18-2013 07:14 PM)Hart Foundation Wrote: Consider this - Boise State was 7-4 in their last year of 1-AA football missing the playoffs in 1995.
Also, 3 years before moving up they were a pathetic 3-8 in 1-AA.
They were 7-16 in their first two years of 1-A football and haven't had a losing season since.
1-AA success is not a predictor of 1-A success.
For every Boise State there are several UMasses and WKUs. Odds are JMU will fall somewhere in between, but a much better chance at becoming a WKU than a Boise.
Just looking at the last decade since 03' (well, 05' for that matter) have been 3 long time I-AA programs that have already moved up: WKU, Tx State, and UMass.
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WKU
02' 12-3 won NC
03' 9-4 lost qtrfinals
04' 9-3 lost opening round
05' 6-5
06' 6-5
07' 7-5 (transition season with part I-AA, part I-A schedule)
08' 2-10 (full I-A schedule)
09' 0-12
10' 2-10
11' 7-5
12' 7-6 (lost to Cent Mich in the Little Caesars Bowl in DETROIT.
13' 6-4 so far. Next 2 games vs other 6-4 teams...
That's 6 I-A seasons, 24-47 so far, 1 lost Toilet Bowl in Detroit where they may as well have been playing in Beirut..
Tx State
12' 4-8 (1st season full I-AA schedule)
13' 6-4 so far (WKU this weekend)
UMass
12' 1-11
13' 1-9 so far
As far as App State, they are 3-8 in their last I-AA season. Not looking good for next season. GSU is 6-4, right now, so who knows next season.
As far as the drive bys go: FAU and FIU nearly carbon copies of ineptitude:
-FAU: 1st season football 01', full I-A schedule 05': 7 losing seasons, 2 winning seasons, 2 toilet bowls, 1 in Detroit, best season 8-5
-FIU: 1st season football 02', full I-A schedule 05': 7 losing seasons 2 winning seasons, 2 toilet bowls, 1 in Detroit, best season 8-5
-USA: 1st season football 10', I-A in 12'. (remember MM offered job here 08')
12': 2-11
13': 3-6 so far
-UTSA: 1st season football 11', I-A this season, 5-5 so far.
-GST: 1st season football 2010. 1st season I-A this season, 0-10 so far.
ODU: Jury still out, 1st I-A season not till next season. Are 8-3 with @ UNC coming up. 7-0 vs I-AA, 1-3 vs I-A, win was @ 1-9 Idaho.
It ain't gonna be rainbows and unicorns when JMU moves up. Get ready for a # of losing seasons. And when that happens people that are gung ho about the move up and are bitching about no announcement yet are going to be on here bitching about a 2-10/3-9/4-8/5-7 JMU as bad if not worse than they're bitching now. Just watch...