Rockets favored by 6.5 to 7.5 in opening line

It's currently at 3.5. I believe home field advantage is with 3 pts.

(09-11-2013 12:09 PM)MidnightBlueGold Wrote:  It's currently at 3.5. I believe home field advantage is with 3 pts.

Generally, that is correct. Basically means on a neutral site it's a dead heat. An Iowa fan told me Kinnick was usually a 5 point differentail, but idk if that was true. Most the time, I see 3 as the standard.

Good luck! EWU did pull off the Oregon State upset, but I'm thinking you guys should handle them.

Go MAC! Hopefully you guys start racking some wins for a big November match-up.

With only three sources listing the odds are the same as in my first post

I think most of the sportsbooks use a more sophisticated home field calculation than just 3 points these days, taking into account analyses of each individual team's records.

This reminds me that I came across an analysis of home field advantages by team last year. You can see it here: http://predictionmachine.com/college-foo...-advantage Note that Toledo is near the top - which is not a good thing really. It means that statistically, we play much better at home than on the road, which again, is not necessarily a good thing. Of course, this data goes back to 2000, so it does span multiple coaches and whatnot.

Folks may be interested in this quote:

Quote:a reasonable argument could be made that officiating in some conferences (like the SEC and MAC) has been more neutral than others (like the Big Ten and Big 12).

(09-11-2013 05:16 PM)northcoastRocket Wrote:  I think most of the sportsbooks use a more sophisticated home field calculation than just 3 points these days, taking into account analyses of each individual team's records.

This reminds me that I came across an analysis of home field advantages by team last year. You can see it here: http://predictionmachine.com/college-foo...-advantage Note that Toledo is near the top - which is not a good thing really. It means that statistically, we play much better at home than on the road, which again, is not necessarily a good thing. Of course, this data goes back to 2000, so it does span multiple coaches and whatnot.

Folks may be interested in this quote:

Quote:a reasonable argument could be made that officiating in some conferences (like the SEC and MAC) has been more neutral than others (like the Big Ten and Big 12).

Interesting, I see we are #5 in basketball:
http://predictionmachine.com/college-bas...-advantage