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Week 3 lines/ pick-um
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zrb2 Offline
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Post: #41
RE: Week 3 lines/ pick-um
(09-11-2013 10:14 AM)emu steve Wrote:  Does anyone know if the Stony Brook/UB game will be on ESPN GamePlan (isn't the game being telecast by TimeWarner Cable in addition to ESPN3?).

It's not listed on the Gameplan schedule i see but it seems like they sometimes add games later in the week. Right now only 4 games are listed. UB vs SB is only shown as an ESPN3 game as of today.

Southern Miss @ Ark
UL-Monroe @ Wake
New Mex @ Pitt
UTEP @ New Mex St.
09-11-2013 11:34 AM
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emu steve Offline
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Post: #42
RE: Week 3 lines/ pick-um
(09-11-2013 10:56 AM)axeme Wrote:  The Sagarin numbers have almost no value until 10 or so games are played. He does football because people want rankings, not because he is pretending that the rankings in the first two months really say much. They are, at best, an end of season measure that still is not a great measure of a team's relative strength. His basketball numbers are much more valid, but basketball has a 30+ game season. There just isn't enough data in CFB.

In college FB, knowing how a team played last season might be the single best predictor of success this season.

I assume one could calculate the correlation coefficient between final 2012 and 2013 for all FBS teams and the correlation would be pretty high. (correlate two ranked variables with the ranked variables being Sagarin rankings).
(This post was last modified: 09-11-2013 11:44 AM by emu steve.)
09-11-2013 11:35 AM
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mufanatehc Offline
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Post: #43
RE: Week 3 lines/ pick-um
updated lines:


EMU +27.5 @ Rutgers
Marshall @ Ohio +8.5
Akron +37 @ Michigan
BGSU +2.5 @ Indiana
NIU -28.5 @ Idaho
Ball St. -3 @ UNT
UMass +39 @ K-State
Kent St. +37 @ LSU
WMU +30.5 @ N'western
CMU +7 @ UNLV
Stony Brook @ Buffalo -13
EWU @ Toledo -6.5

positive
negative
09-12-2013 11:48 AM
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TARDledo Offline
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Post: #44
RE: Week 3 lines/ pick-um
09-13-2013 06:16 PM
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