Lou_C
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RE: Is ACC football on the verge of greatness?
(09-11-2013 08:50 AM)orangefan Wrote: (09-11-2013 08:34 AM)Lou_C Wrote: (09-10-2013 11:33 PM)tj_2009 Wrote: (09-09-2013 08:48 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote: (09-09-2013 08:35 AM)Lou_C Wrote: At the risk of sounding like a broken record, if Virginia had played The Citadel this week instead of Oregon, after what BYU did to Texas, good chance UVA would have been ranked this week as well. We scheduled ourselves out of that one. BYU was a tough enough game and a good win. No need to try to take on Oregon on a week's prep.
Yep. I'll add to that this - if Syracuse had not played N'Western (and lost big), then N'Western might not be ranked as high as they are, thus making room for UVa... This REALLY IS A GROUP EFFORT. Unless you schedule like Notre Dame and go undefeated every year, you need the other members of the conference to schedule wisely, because everything affects everything else.
As it is, FSU has at least 3 ranked opponents remaining (Clemson, Miami, Florida), Ga Tech has 3 (Clemson, BYU, Georgia), and Clemson has 3 (already played Georgia, still have FSU, Ga Tech, S Carolina). Even Va Tech has 2 (Ga Tech, Miami). Then whoever wins the 2 division will play each other... that is plenty of SoS, IMO.
Doesn't this work the other way as well though. Syracuse is not going to schedule a bunch of weak teams. Usually, its one of the toughest schedules but if we win a lot of these games then that would bring up the strength of schedule if they can beat Syracuse.
Syracuse can be tough at home and have a history of beating highly ranked opponents at home.
Which is exactly the problem and one of the reasons the ACC has looked bad a lot over the years.
See, if Syracuse beats Clemson, Clemson is going to drop to about #23, and Syracuse is still going to be nowhere near ranked.
If Syracuse had come in to the Clemson game 4-0, and beaten Clemson, Clemson would fall to about #16, and Syracuse would be ranked as well.
That's what happens in the other conferences, some of the shine rubs off each other. If Syracuse wins, there will be zero talk about Syracuse, and all about Clemson. If Syracuse was 4-0, Syracuse would be a big part of the story.
I get that "it's what Syracuse does", but if they continue to take 2 losses OOC every single year, which is what they have done for years in the Big East, they turn out to be a terrible addition for ACC football. Syracuse winning 5 and 6 games, but knocking off a Louisville, Clemson or Florida State may be the Syracuse way, but it's nothing but suck for the conference.
And when people say "when Syracuse is good again", good luck with that. Syracuse needs a massive talent upgrade, and that's going to be impossible to come by when they are one of 3-4 ACC teams missing bowl games.
I get the appeal of the Syracuse philosophy...as a Florida State fan, most of us still want our four OOC games to be Florida, Nebraska, USC and Notre Dame every year.
But what works is absolutely proven. For a bad program to continue to schedule 2 out of conference losses, which is what Syracuse did in the Big East the last 5-6 years, there is absolutely zero schools that you can point to for which that allowed them to get better and get to the next level. I can point to a dozen that got to the next level by doing the opposite.
It's like Syracuse refused to adopt the forward pass, because that's not how men play football.
This philosophy was appropriate when we were in Big East Football version 2.0. The conference was the weakest of the AQ's and we had only 7 conference games. Scheduling multiple AQ schools OOC raised our SOS to B1G/SEC equivalent.
Now that we are in the ACC, I would favor moving to a schedule with one P5 opponent OOC, one strong mid major (i.e., AAC), one lesser mid-major (i.e., MAC, CUSA), and one FCS school.
Yes, you get it. That philosophy makes sense. But nobody Syracuse schedules should be a heavy (10+ plus) favorite. For example, it makes no sense to schedule:
LSU
Boise State
Northern Illinois
App St.
But it makes perfect sense to schedule:
Minnesota (or Miss St or Iowa St or the equivalent)
Memphis
Buffalo
The Citadel
That schedule makes all the sense in the world for Syracuse, and is nothing shameful about that. It's comparable to the majority of the big time college programs. When you've already got FSU, Clemson, Louisville on the schedule every year, and ND every three years, that is perfect.
Get through that 4-0, and you're game with Clemson is probably a prime time game instead of 12:30 on Raycom or whatever. The Dome would be packed, and you fill it up with recruits. If you somehow beat Clemson, now you're ranked. Even if Clemson runs you, you sell the opportunity to play in big games like this, and as a freshman. You can sell how much you need them.
Then you get to 7-8 wins and a bowl game, which means an extra 3-4 weeks of practice with your coaches and kids. You get a shot at an SEC or B1G team, instead of MAYBE getting to 6 wins for a shot at an AAC team in Birmingham on Dec. 21.
You do that, and it's something you can sell. As your kids get better, and you do better in the ACC, then you upgrade the OOC schedule accordingly. As you get better, you can schedule better teams without them being a virtual auto-loss.
It's all right there to be had, and the blueprint has been followed over and over again by other programs. Believe me, when Syracuse is winning 8-9 games a year, 10 games in a special year, there aren't going to be any attendence problems because the schedule is too weak. Attendence always, ALWAYS goes up with success. People come to see the home team.
I mean, I know Syracuse laughs at Rutgers schedule, but EVERYONE in college football, and I mean EVERYONE, outside of Syracuse fans believe that Rutgers has far surpassed Syracuse as a program. This is what works, for teams and the conference.
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