Bump. For last week's games, "random ai" tied for best score. I know random ai, and he does pick at random. We collectively can't let this happen again :).

Bump. I'm going to be at a wedding all weekend, so unfortunately I'm going to miss the game and will be a little slower than usual updating the results this weekend. Cheer loud and GO DUKES!

Apologies for the delay. I just got home and updated the results for this weekend. We had a record 9-way tie for best performance this week.

(10-12-2014 04:00 PM)Lyric Wrote:  Apologies for the delay. I just got home and updated the results for this weekend. We had a record 9-way tie for best performance this week.

Damn. I went 6 for 6 yet wasn't one of those 9....

(10-12-2014 07:21 PM)BDKJMU Wrote:  

(10-12-2014 04:00 PM)Lyric Wrote:  Apologies for the delay. I just got home and updated the results for this weekend. We had a record 9-way tie for best performance this week.

Damn. I went 6 for 6 yet wasn't one of those 9....

Same here. Gotta get better with the confidence % I guess.

(10-12-2014 09:17 PM)madizoned-level2004 Wrote:  

(10-12-2014 07:21 PM)BDKJMU Wrote:  

(10-12-2014 04:00 PM)Lyric Wrote:  Apologies for the delay. I just got home and updated the results for this weekend. We had a record 9-way tie for best performance this week.

Damn. I went 6 for 6 yet wasn't one of those 9....

Same here. Gotta get better with the confidence % I guess.

Yeah, W&M @ UNH & Maine @ SBU I went 50%. The other 4 100%.

Bump.

I decided to have a little fun and perform a quick machine learning analysis on all predictions through week 8 to determine which groups of participants tend to predict most similarly with one-another. Specifically, I iteratively ran a standard K-Means cluster analysis on the predictions to see what similarity clusters fell out. Given the nature of the algorithm, some inherent randomness exists in these results, but rerunning over many thousands of iterations does produce fairly stable results.

The participant clusters fall out below. Users who share a cluster tend to predict more similarly with each other than with those who are not in their cluster. That's all it means. In other words, cluster 1 is not "better" than cluster 4, just simply different. Note that user "random ai" has a cluster all to himself (this conveniently provides a nice sanity check on the results!). Enjoy:

CLUSTER 0
Dunkanddukin
s2dsayer

CLUSTER 1
jmutoml757
bpangle
whitdragn
JMUDukes20
MathMom
Smokey 1
jmad1son
bridgeforth_duke
Madizoned-level2004
jmu08
dolleymadison
Lyric
streamerlauncher
larssc

CLUSTER 2
BigD33

CLUSTER 3
DooX
Potomac
jmu007

CLUSTER 4
lager
Trashby
BDKJMU
TimothyWM12
olderduke1
fieldsa12
JMU
gaberdsp
2Buck
JMUHarpoo
Dante
Greedy63
masoncr221
Jmu1990
Leadershell

CLUSTER 5
beck5382
Albany Weave
All Dukes All Day
dukesontheloose
lingerba

CLUSTER 6
random ai

CLUSTER 7
BlueHenMom
blkpatch84

I'll give the weekly bump.

Didn't do a CAA prediction thread last week, as there seems to have been declining interest. I see on here I was the only 1 to go with UR over VU. After VU thumped JMU I was thinking UR would be the only CAA team to beat VU. Then after Strauss and Barnette went down for UR figured that wouldn't be the case. But then I went back the previous 11 seasons and saw that there had never been 2 CAA teams going 8-0 in CAA play in the same season, and even 1 team going 8-0 in CAA play only happened twice over that period, UMass in 06' and JMU in 08'. So that meant either UR or UNH HAD to lose a CAA game. Looking at their last 8 CAA games (4 each) the most logical one was UR over VU.

Oh, no ... The web site has been hacked. Can't view weekly results & can't pick ...

(11-16-2014 06:04 PM)FreshDad Wrote:  Oh, no ... The web site has been hacked. Can't view weekly results & can't pick ...

Just tried it now and everything seems normal. What happened when you tried to view the page?

(11-16-2014 06:15 PM)Lyric Wrote:  

(11-16-2014 06:04 PM)FreshDad Wrote:  Oh, no ... The web site has been hacked. Can't view weekly results & can't pick ...

Just tried it now and everything seems normal. What happened when you tried to view the page?

I got it to work ... after clicking 2 and 3 times for each screen. I also keep getting an add for Java HD to be installed ...

Thanks for all your hard work ... it has been fun!

(11-16-2014 06:42 PM)FreshDad Wrote:  

(11-16-2014 06:15 PM)Lyric Wrote:  

(11-16-2014 06:04 PM)FreshDad Wrote:  Oh, no ... The web site has been hacked. Can't view weekly results & can't pick ...

Just tried it now and everything seems normal. What happened when you tried to view the page?

I got it to work ... after clicking 2 and 3 times for each screen. I also keep getting an add for Java HD to be installed ...

Thanks for all your hard work ... it has been fun!

No problem! Agreed, the adds are quite annoying. I think that's new this year. Going back to an earlier comment on this thread, I may just shell out the $5/month to get a more reliable, add-free service for next season.

Does anyone know if there is an online FCS playoff bracket we can all play?

Bump...

Hey Lyric, you doing this again this year?

(08-30-2015 09:34 PM)s2dsayer Wrote:  Bump...

Hey Lyric, you doing this again this year?

I would like to, but unfortunately, it appears that the web hosting service I had been using deleted my entire database and all of its tables sometime during the offseason. Because I made the tables by hand instead of using a script (oops), I'm not sure how easily I could remember the exact data schema I had before (it was fairly complicated because I designed it with an eye for expanding the capabilities down the road). It's dreaded proposal season at work right now, so I won't be able to sort all of this out before Thursday when the season starts. I'm sad to say that it looks like I may not be able to run the challenge this year. I hope to be able to run it next year, though.

2016 bump. Lyric (or anyone else) doing this this year?

(08-29-2016 08:04 PM)BDKJMU Wrote:  2016 bump. Lyric (or anyone else) doing this this year?

I do a few pick em's for work I probably could pick this up using google but I wouldn't have the time to do previews etc. as well.

(11-24-2014 09:33 AM)JMU Wrote:  Does anyone know if there is an online FCS playoff bracket we can all play?

We could do it on this site, but that would mean signing up as another user
http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthre...ck-em-2016

Alright guys if you are interested please let me know. First games are Thursday night but I am not going to add the work if no one is interested (no offense). It will only take me a few hours to get things setup so I could post a link to enter later tonight or first thing in the morning.