(10-28-2013 09:41 PM)He1nousOne Wrote: Yeah, see you know my position on the ACC. That makes for a much more complicated scenario. It really does leave out the PAC from the bigger picture. Does the Big 12 also survive in this scenario?
There is a reason why I don't talk much about Syracuse despite the fact that I do think they fit.
If I was to just take one more ACC school without any regard to the Bigger Picture then I would take Virginia Tech for the Big Ten.
I actually think they fit in better than Virginia despite the fact that Virginia would make the Presidents have bigger smiles. Virginia is basically a State sanctioned private school. Tech fits in better with the Big Ten vision. Tech also seems to love the idea of scheduling some of the bigger name brands of the Big Ten so why not?
I think that all works better with a 20 team scenario though. It has to get very complicated for it to actually be viable.
No. It actually works great. In my scenario these things have happened.
1. The upper tier is set in that all the members of the present P5 are in.
That takes away the liability that the GOR would impose for diminished value due to loss of status should other teams depart.
2. All contracts are honored by agreement between FOX and ESPN since no other networks are involved with the Big 12 and ACC this can be done.
That takes away the loss of contract value should a team depart from either of the conferences. No contract devaluation, and no loss of status equals no GOR damages. We already know that to be legal both parties are still paid should a team leave. Without damages the only negotiated fee of a GOR breech would be the conference established exit fee plus the difference up in value of the departing team to the new conference.
In other words if Kansas left the Big 12 for the Big 10 and they earned 5 million more a year in the Big 12 then Kansas would owe the Big 12 their exit fee plus the difference they would make in the Big 10. So for the duration of the contract Kansas would earn in the Big 10 what they would have earned in the Big 12 with the Big 12 schools splitting the difference.
But even that won't matter because in this scenario neither the ACC nor Big 12 remain and a new 16 team conference is formed out of their remnants and the networks agree to pay them slightly more than they would have made under their old contracts. And for the duration of their contracts the Big 10, SEC and PAC would receive no more than the amounts needed to pay the additions equal value to what the present teams are making.
If the Big 10 takes Syracuse and Virginia Tech with Notre Dame as a hybrid (like with the ACC) and the SEC takes Virginia and North Carolina with Duke as a hybrid then both conferences stand at 16 plus 1.
If Iowa State (AAU), Kansas (AAU), Oklahoma, and Texas Tech, and Texas goes as a hybrid (AAU) to the PAC then they stand at 16 plus 1.
The new conference then formed would look like this:
Boston College, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville
Pittsburgh, N.C. State, Louisville, Wake Forest
Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Miami
Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, T.C.U.
and Brigham Young as a hybrid. Which is a pretty darn good conference that stands at 16 plus 1.
And since the new conference is in the upper tier and paid slightly more than they would otherwise have earned in their old conferences and since those conferences have been disbanded there are no GOR to contend with, and may or may not be exit fees.
The Big 10 gets into Virginia, gets the viewing audience of Notre Dame for the BTN (which is extensive) and picks up Syracuse to cement New York.
Buddy that's a damn good day.
The SEC gets into Virginia and North Carolina and picks up 3 schools (with Duke as a Hybrid) to help with their hoops and academics. Which is another great day.
The PAC moves to 16 with 2 AAU schools, another national brand, a travel buddy for Texas, and picks up Texas's viewing audience for the PACN. Larry Scott will think he has died and gone to heaven.
The rest of the teams don't get left behind, boost their football credentials by losing Kansas, Iowa State, Duke, Virginia, and to a certain extent North Carolina and Syracuse. They earn more money and now have a footprint large enough to have their own network and a danged good one at that. Probably larger and better than that of the Big 10, SEC, and PAC individually. And the Mormons add to their network viewership in a big way through their association with them.
I call that a 4 way win and that's what I'm trying to achieve and hope to see happen.
By the way the ARWU rankings for Virginia Tech fit the Big 10 demographic quite well and they are borderline AAU. The campus metrics work as well.