Divisional or Non-Divisional Set-up
NCAA rules require 2 divisions of round robin play to host an exempt conference championship game (a game that doesn't count against the normal 12 game limits on number of games). It's doubtful that rule changes, but if the rule were modified to instead say any 12 team conference can host a conference championship game (no semi-finals still), which set-up would you prefer?
A) A divisional set-up like we are going to have with the champions of each division (or the team winning the tie-breaker in the event of a tie) facing off.
or
B) No divisions in football. Instead the conference would lock a few games per team and rotate the other games around. The top 2 teams at the end of the season (possibly going to tie-breakers again) would face off in the CCG.
If the conference were to consider #2, I think it would probably look a lot like this:
1. 9 game conference schedule still (10 might work better; but wouldn't be considered)
2. Everyone gets 3 locked games a year. The other 6 rotate. That means playing 3 teams 100% of the time and the other 10, 60% of the time.
3. Teams with the best two records go to the CCG (with a plethora of tie breakers).
I put three games locked games because I think that’s what the Big Ten would want to preserve the vast majority of games they or the schools care most about. They’d look something like this:
Wisconsin: Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota
Iowa: Wisconsin, Nebraska, Minnesota
Nebraska: Wisconsin, Iowa, Rutgers
Minnesota: Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin
Michigan: Ohio State, Michigan State, Minnesota
Ohio State: Michigan, Penn State, Illinois
Michigan State: Michigan, Northwestern, Indiana
Penn State: Ohio State, Rutgers, Maryland
Rutgers: Penn State, Maryland, Nebraska
Maryland: Penn State, Rutgers, Purdue
Indiana: Purdue, Northwestern, Michigan State
Purdue: Indiana, Illinois, Maryland
Illinois: Northwestern, Purdue, Ohio State
Northwestern: Purdue, Illinois, Michigan State
The only ones there that aren’t rivalries, trophy games, or border games that make sense are a) Michigan State-Northwestern, b) Nebraska and Rutgers, c) Maryland and Purdue. Michigan State-Northwestern is a game Michigan State would like anyway (they’ve expressed a desire to play in Chicago). The other two are pretty random, but Nebraska gives the conference another big name close to New York every year. Meanwhile the most significant game I see missing from that list is probably Nebraska/Minnesota which I don’t think either side will miss a lot (Minnesota would choose the other 3 first and while Nebraska has history with Minnesota, it was long ago and not something they are going to miss having every year).
Advantages of Divisions:
1. Smaller set of teams competing with might increase rivalries (only directly competing with 6 teams instead of 13 for most the season).
2. Divisional crown itself might someday be something people care a lot about.
3. Strength of schedule differences an issue, but minimized a little thanks go all divisional opponents being the same.
Advantages of No Divisions:
1. Conference feels more united and less like 2 halfs.
2. Play most teams more often. With divisions, Indiana/Purdue will play other division 29% of the time and everyone else will play rest of other division 45% of the time. Without divisions, you never play anyone less than 60% of the time.
3. Rivalries a little better preserved. Little Brown Jug in particular saved in this set-up.
4. No risk of uneven division/NCAA sanctions allowing a team too far back in the conference standings making the CCG and with a good game becoming conference champs. This has happened a lot in CCGs because one division has been a lot stronger at the top or because dominant team in other division was on NCAA sanctions. Of particular note, in the last two years we've had 5-4 ULCA and 4-4 Wisconsin (conference standings) make CCGs.
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