(05-24-2013 01:48 PM)grol Wrote: Upcoming game between UH and USM should determine winner of other pod, right? Since UH is a bubble team right now, a win is a must for them.
I think these are the scenarios (correct me if I'm wrong):
If USM wins today, only one team (USM) can advance:
USM beats UH, ECU; outcome of prior UH-Tulane is irrelevant:
USM advances at 3-0
USM beats UH, falls to ECU; outcome of prior UH-Tulane is irrelevant: USM, Winner of UH-Tulane tied at 2-1;
USM advances on Head-to-Head
If UH wins today, any of three teams (USM, UH, Tulane) can advance:
UH beats USM, Tulane; outcome of subsequent USM-ECU is moot:
UH advances at 3-0
UH beats USM, loses to Tulane; USM beats ECU: Tulane, USM, UH tied at 2-1 and
USM advances on seeding
UH beats USM, loses to Tulane; ECU beats USM: Tulane, UH tied at 2-1 and
Tulane advances on Head-to-Head
So if USM wins today, they're in. If UH wins today, then they must beat Tulane, otherwise either a 2-1 USM or Tulane goes on to play Sunday.
This also means, of course, that both Memphis and Rice should be rooting for UH today so that all three possible championship teams have to burn pitchers tomorrow in order to make it to Sunday.