(04-27-2013 03:38 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote: You act like the AAC added a bunch of Notre Dames. Yes, the AAC added some quality programs, but it's not like those schools were on the verge of getting invites to the Big 12 or SEC.
I don't see any point in trying to speculate about what the next C-USA contract will look like by comparing the teams that each conference added. There are many factors at play. (records, markets, proximity to fellow conference mates, fan interest, attendance, schedules, ...)
It is just my opinion, but between SMU and North Texas, I think North Texas will carry a larger share of the Dallas/Fort Worth market. SMU has been to 3 straight bowl games and still can't draw flies. Not only does UNT have a larger fan base but other programs in C-USA West (Rice, UTEP, and UTSA) have large numbers of alumni in the region. It is a market where I see C-USA having an advantage over the AAC.
No, really I don't act like that.
I act like there's been a difference in national regard for SMU and the other defectors that UNT and other CUSA newbies do not have.
It's one thing to sit here and type and chatter about this stuff, it's another when dollars are at stake and decisions that are made have implications to the careers of those making them... to wit, there's a reason why SMU was invited to AAC instead of UNT... there's a reason why Houston was invited to AAC instead of Rice... there's a reason why UCF was invited instead of FIU or FAU...
If you're negotiating a TV contract, you begin with what you know, not what you hope will happen... and what you know is what TV ratings La Tech has pulled over the last 5 years... what TV ratings Marshall has pulled... what TV ratings ECU has pulled.
Has La Tech played Marshall?
No, but if you took a business stats course, you probably realize that there are some mathematical ways to project within some reasonable accuracy what that rating would look like, simply because both have been on TV enough to plug-in some numbers.
All of the "yeah, but look at our alumni base here" or "yeah, but we raised X-million more for athletics last year"... those things will have minimal effect on the final number because the bottom line is straight-up what kind of an audience can we project that this school will draw when we put them on the schedule.