We have really dug ourselves into a hole with our all-around poor play this past weekend (when even our usually stout pitching and outstanding defense deserted us). More disappointing than the losses themselves, we're simply not playing quality Rice baseball at the moment. Thankfully, our guys have no quit in them; a quality which should serve us well going forward. Also, in a down year for C-USA, no team has broken away from the pack (though USM has gotten on a pretty nice roll since we beat them the opening weekend of conference play). However, we can ill-afford to keep playing the way we did this past weekend. Even with the heightened academic pressures associated with the last week of the semester and the upcoming Final exams, we have got to find a way to snap out of our funk this week against in-state rivals, Texas Tech (at Reckling on Tuesday and Wednesday evenings) and Houston (across town over the weekend). Note the Wednesday game against Tech will be starting 30 minutes earlier than usual at 6:00am.
Texas Tech comes into town struggling through their worst stretch of the season, having lost their last six games (including Sunday against non-Division 1 Lubbock Christian), and ten of their last eleven games (with the opposition scoring at least 6 runs in each of the past 8 games). Keep in mind, however, that UCF came into our series this past weekend on a similar losing skid...and we know how that turned out. Overall, the Red Raiders have posted a 17 - 19 record (5-12 on the road, but a respectable 6-9 vs. Top 100, and national rankings of #100 in RPI, #115 in ISR and #62 in SoS). They have quality wins against #9 Arizona State, #45 Texas x 2, #65 BYU, #73 Arizona and #99 FIU. Unfortunately, They're only 8-8 vs. teams ranked #101 - 200. Here's their schedule/results over their first 36 games...
http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2013/sch...Texas-Tech
Offensively, Tech's stats are earily similar to our own, though against a much better Strength of Schedule (#62 vs. #108) and over two fewer games-- they're hitting .250/.363/.331 as a team, with 11 HRs, 56 doubles/triples and averaging 5.2 runs per game (vs. Rice hitting .270/.365/.341, with 11 HRs, 53 doubles/triples and averaging 4.7 runs/game). They have actually averaged half a run more per game than we have, and againt superior competition. They have but one batter hitting over .281 (Jake Barrios at .306/.387/.519, 3 HRs, 10 doubles/triples, 30 RBIs) and one batter with an on-base percentage over .390 (Jarrad Poteete at ..267/.444/.366, 1 HR, 7 doubles, 15 RBIs, 31 BBs). As a team, they are averaging 6 free passes received and 7 strikeouts per game, both of which are above average, which would appear to indicate that they make an effort to work the pitch count. Especially after the walkathon which was this past weekend, our pitchers must pound the strikezone against these guys. It also appears that they like to crowd the plate and rack up hit by pitch totals, as four guys have been hit 6+ times, led by Eric Gutierrez with 12 HBP). With two quality basestealers (Devon Conley 10-10 SBs and speedy leadoff man Brett Bell 22-26 SBs), the Red Raiders have only 18 sac bunts on the year (and Conley and Bell have over half of them).
Defensively, they have an outstanding and experienced infield, posting a .973 fielding percentage, having turned a whopping 47 double plays (vs. the 45 we've turned in two more games), and their catchers have allowed just one passed ball all year. No one on the team has committed more than 7 errors.
On the mound, the Red Raiders started the season quite positively-- recording 6 shutouts and limitting the opposition to 2 or fewer runs in 15 of their first 23 games. Unfortunately, things have fallen apart of late, and they've averaged giving up 8.3 runs/game over the past 10 games, with only once during this span holding the opposition to less than 6 runs. They do have one elite starter, Jr RHP Trey Masek (6 starts, 3-0, 0.82 ERA, .184 BAA), but he just returned Sunday from a two-week absence due to injury, and is unlikely to see action against Rice. They also have two quality (though not elite level), workhorse relievers. No one else on the staff has an ERA under 4.00. As a staff, their numbers have turned decidedly sub-par: 4.56 ERA, .283 BAA, but a very good 2.4 strikeout:walk ratio thanks to outstanding control and keeping the walk total down to an average of just 3 BBs per game (which is exceptional).
They do have a big advantage over us in that they did not play a weekend series this past weekend; simply a single game Sunday evening against Lubbock Christian (a 5-6 loss), in which their usual Friday and Saturday starters each threw 3.0 - 4.0 innings. Consequently, not only is their bullpen fully rested, but we'll likely face two of their weekend starting pitchers. (Note-- their best pitcher, Trey Masek, had missed the previous two weekends with injury, but returned to pitch 3 innings against Lubbock Christian. Their #4 starter, Corey Taylor, has started Sundays the past two weekends.)
Johnny Drozd (JUCO, LHP): 10 app, 6 starts, 3-3, 39.1 IP, 4.12 ERA, .284 BAA, 6 BBs, 27 Ks
Corey Taylor (So, RHP): 12 app, 5 starts, 204, 37.1 IP, 5.79 ERA, .265 BAA, 15 BBs, 26 Ks, 17 xtrabase hits
Jerad McCrummen Sr, RHP): 17 app, 1-5, 3 saves, 29.1 IP, 2.76 ERA, .275 BAA, 9 BBs, 25 Ks, only 2 xtrabase hits
Andre Wheeler (Jr, LHP): 16 app, 3-0, 25.2 IP, 3.86 ERA, .274 BAA, 11 BBs, 17 Ks
Here are Tech's individual/team stats over their first 36 games...
http://www.texastech.com/sports/m-basebl...mcume.html
An early report (unofficial as yet) indicated that Austin Kubitza would get the start Tuesday evening, but I suspect both Chase McDowell and Kevin McCanna will see action against the Red Raiders (especially since Austin threw well over 80 pitches in his 4 innings of action Friday night, and he'll likely be projected to start again in the series finale against UH on Sunday).
Time to bring both the focus and the energy level, and start playing quality Rice baseball once again. Despite the academic pressures and distractions, the team has to find a way to rise to the occassion this week, and put the bad memories of this past weekend in the rear view mirror. Let's go into the break feeling good about our most recent level of play. Go Owls!
Note-- as I'll be travelling back to Chicago on Thursday, followed by evening plans, I will not be able to prepare a preview for the big weekend series against the Coogs. Hopefully, others will be able to provide some scouting report info and pertenent links.