per vegasinsider...please note

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bask...las-vegas/

A few:

St. Mary's -3 MTSU
MSU -10 Valpo
VCU -7 Akron
Wisconsin -5 mispsisisisi
Duke -17.5 Albany
Gonzaga -21.5 Southern

To be clear...vegasinsider posted these lines, they are not my creation. I am just making a friendly topical maybe fun post.

(03-18-2013 09:49 AM)Mimi Wrote:  per vegasinsider...please note

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bask...las-vegas/

A few:

St. Mary's -3 MTSU
MSU -10 Valpo
VCU -7 Akron
Wisconsin -5 mispsisisisi
Duke -17.5 Albany
Gonzaga -21.5 Southern

To be clear...vegasinsider posted these lines, they are not my creation. I am just making a friendly topical maybe fun post.

Already heard people this morning saying Wisconsin spread is too small. I think that's a bit ignorant. Wisconsin does not win by large margins against teams that like to play fast and shoot a lot. They control the game and leave with a win. It's rarely their MOV that is impressive.

(03-18-2013 09:49 AM)Mimi Wrote:  per vegasinsider...please note

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bask...las-vegas/

A few:

St. Mary's -3 MTSU
MSU -10 Valpo
VCU -7 Akron
Wisconsin -5 mispsisisisi
Duke -17.5 Albany
Gonzaga -21.5 Southern

To be clear...vegasinsider posted these lines, they are not my creation. I am just making a friendly topical maybe fun post.

beware early lines as some are meant to even the $ out so that bookies/casinos can cover their bets and make $ on the juice.

If I were a betting man, I'd jump on VCU -7.

(03-18-2013 09:49 AM)Mimi Wrote:  To be clear...vegasinsider posted these lines, they are not my creation. I am just making a friendly topical maybe fun post.

What that seems to indicate:

If SMS wins:
Memphis +1/pick 'em

If MTSU wins:
Memphis -2

(03-18-2013 09:54 AM)tigerfansincebirth89 Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 09:49 AM)Mimi Wrote:  per vegasinsider...please note

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bask...las-vegas/

A few:

St. Mary's -3 MTSU
MSU -10 Valpo
VCU -7 Akron
Wisconsin -5 mispsisisisi
Duke -17.5 Albany
Gonzaga -21.5 Southern

To be clear...vegasinsider posted these lines, they are not my creation. I am just making a friendly topical maybe fun post.

Already heard people this morning saying Wisconsin spread is too small. I think that's a bit ignorant. Wisconsin does not win by large margins against teams that like to play fast and shoot a lot. They control the game and leave with a win. It's rarely their MOV that is impressive.

Wisconsin by double digits. Little punk won't be able to go off on their D. They'll have him on lockdown.

Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

(03-18-2013 12:47 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

For SMS it would be 85.25-84.88 in favor of SMS. Hence, my post where Memphis would be +1/pick 'em.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sa...kt1213.htm

i wouldn't bet on wisconsin. They beat a lot of good teams but then lose some headscratchers. A product of their style

(03-18-2013 12:49 PM)salukiblue Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 12:47 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

For SMS it would be 85.25-84.88 in favor of SMS. Hence, my post where Memphis would be +1/pick 'em.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sa...kt1213.htm

One major flaw in saccharin(artificial) system is that Pastner has called off the dogs a LOT. This has a significant influence in our Sagarin numbers. There is no provision made for coaches who pull in the reigns in final 2 minute after game is wrapped up compared to those who still go full tilt trying to run up the score.

(03-18-2013 12:49 PM)salukiblue Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 12:47 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

For SMS it would be 85.25-84.88 in favor of SMS. Hence, my post where Memphis would be +1/pick 'em.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sa...kt1213.htm

27 Memphis = 85.67
34 Saint Mary's-Cal. = 84.58

We'd be the 1 point favorite, if I'm not mistaken. Either way it's projected to be a really close game.

Also:
27 Memphis = 85.67
53 Middle Tennessee = 81.94

So 4 point favorites over MTSU.

And:
34 Saint Mary's-Cal. = 84.58
53 Middle Tennessee = 81.94


You can see how SMC is a 3 point opening line favorite over MTSU.

(03-18-2013 02:27 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 12:49 PM)salukiblue Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 12:47 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

For SMS it would be 85.25-84.88 in favor of SMS. Hence, my post where Memphis would be +1/pick 'em.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sa...kt1213.htm

27 Memphis = 85.67
34 Saint Mary's-Cal. = 84.58

We'd be the 1 point favorite, if I'm not mistaken. Either way it's projected to be a really close game.

Also:
27 Memphis = 85.67
53 Middle Tennessee = 81.94

So 4 point favorites over MTSU.

And:
34 Saint Mary's-Cal. = 84.58
53 Middle Tennessee = 81.94


You can see how SMC is a 3 point opening line favorite over MTSU.

The "predictor" rating is in blue on the far right under the "Predictor" column, fyi.

(03-18-2013 12:29 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  If I were a betting man, I'd jump on VCU -7.

this

they will crush akron

(03-18-2013 12:49 PM)salukiblue Wrote:  

(03-18-2013 12:47 PM)stratecashomie Wrote:  Just going off Sagarin's predictor ratings, the line for Memphis/St. Mary's would be -1 Memphis if not pick'em.

For SMS it would be 85.25-84.88 in favor of SMS. Hence, my post where Memphis would be +1/pick 'em.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sa...kt1213.htm

I guess it depends on which predictor value you use