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Baseball by the Numbers - 2012-13 Season
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 1
(04-14-2013 07:27 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-14-2013 12:48 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  Mercer sweeps FGCU. It will be interesting to see how this impacts rankings. All season FGCU has had the nod over Mercer. I can't see how they justify that now.

As a baseball fan, what about UNF? They are first place with the league's best offense and a pitching staff that from my understanding has been missing two weekend starters for the majority of the year (I think they actually pitched in relief this weekend). The Ospreys already have series wins over Mercer and ETSU so that's essentially an extra game in their pocket.

This league could have multiple teams this year.

I agree. I've been vocal about UNF being a good team this year. The A-Sun will definitely have at least 2 bids in Mercer and FGCU. If another team wins the conference tourney, then it will be 3. UNF's RPI just can't seem to get any better than 70. That's on the outside looking in, sadly. So they'll need to almost win out, or win the conference tourney.
(This post was last modified: 04-14-2013 10:50 PM by MercerFan.)
04-14-2013 10:47 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 1
2013 A-Sun Baseball...Here's the breakdown with extra stats from warrennolan.com --

Current as of April 20, 2013

Atlantic Sun CONFERENCE RANK: 16th of 31 leagues

TEAMS by Conference Record: (bold team leads A-SUN standings)

1 Mercer // 32-10 (12-5)
2 North Florida // 28-12 (10-4)
3 ETSU // 22-14 (11-6)
4 FGCU // 22-12 (8-6)
5 Kennesaw State // 21-20 (9-8)
6 Stetson // 18-22 (7-7)
6 Jacksonville // 14-24 (7-7)
8 USC Upstate // 22-17 (7-9)
9 Lipscomb // 13-27 (3-11)
10 Northern Kentucky // 6-31 (2-12)


National Rankings:

MERCER:
Current: #24
High: #24
Weeks Ranked: 2

FLORIDA GULF COAST:
Current: ---
High: #23
Weeks Ranked: 7


Mid-Major Top 25:

#2 Mercer
#14 Florida Gulf Coast

RPI Ranking:

20 Mercer
33 FGCU
74 North Florida
123 ETSU
134 Kennesaw State
190 Jacksonville
192 Stetson
219 Lipscomb
228 USC Upstate
280 Northern Kentucky
04-20-2013 05:25 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 1
APRIL 20th UPDATE: Mercer finally cracks the rankings again, checking in as high as #24. FGCU has dropped out of the rankings after an impressive 7 weeks on the charts. FGCU has been sliding recently, mostly due to the 3-game sweep at the hands of Mercer.

Mercer is on a 7-game win streak and leads the conference race by only a half game.

FGCU is treading water at best. They are only 1 game ahead of 6th place*

* The conference tourney invites the top 6 teams. There is a tie for 6th between Stetson and JU. Those teams are only 3.5 games back from Mercer. This race is VERY close, and a weekend sweep would change things drastically for anybody.

North Florida is a SOLID team, but can't get their RPI above 70. They need the conference tourney to advance to the NCAA.

ETSU and Kennesaw are also GREAT clubs, but are both clearly in need of a conference tourney crown.

Beyond that I can't imagine another team winning the tournament.
(This post was last modified: 04-20-2013 05:30 PM by MercerFan.)
04-20-2013 05:29 PM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 1
(04-20-2013 05:29 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  APRIL 20th UPDATE: Mercer finally cracks the rankings again, checking in as high as #24. FGCU has dropped out of the rankings after an impressive 7 weeks on the charts. FGCU has been sliding recently, mostly due to the 3-game sweep at the hands of Mercer.

Mercer is on a 7-game win streak and leads the conference race by only a half game.

FGCU is treading water at best. They are only 1 game ahead of 6th place*

* The conference tourney invites the top 6 teams. There is a tie for 6th between Stetson and JU. Those teams are only 3.5 games back from Mercer. This race is VERY close, and a weekend sweep would change things drastically for anybody.

North Florida is a SOLID team, but can't get their RPI above 70. They need the conference tourney to advance to the NCAA.

ETSU and Kennesaw are also GREAT clubs, but are both clearly in need of a conference tourney crown.

Beyond that I can't imagine another team winning the tournament.

FYI...Conference tournament is 8 teams.

Also, by winning percentage which determines seeding UNF is first and is now 64 in the RPI after today. Florida will have alot to do with UNFs success in the RPI.
(This post was last modified: 04-20-2013 09:30 PM by Statman101.)
04-20-2013 09:25 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-20-2013 09:25 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-20-2013 05:29 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  APRIL 20th UPDATE: Mercer finally cracks the rankings again, checking in as high as #24. FGCU has dropped out of the rankings after an impressive 7 weeks on the charts. FGCU has been sliding recently, mostly due to the 3-game sweep at the hands of Mercer.

Mercer is on a 7-game win streak and leads the conference race by only a half game.

FGCU is treading water at best. They are only 1 game ahead of 6th place*

* The conference tourney invites the top 6 teams. There is a tie for 6th between Stetson and JU. Those teams are only 3.5 games back from Mercer. This race is VERY close, and a weekend sweep would change things drastically for anybody.

North Florida is a SOLID team, but can't get their RPI above 70. They need the conference tourney to advance to the NCAA.

ETSU and Kennesaw are also GREAT clubs, but are both clearly in need of a conference tourney crown.

Beyond that I can't imagine another team winning the tournament.

FYI...Conference tournament is 8 teams.

Also, by winning percentage which determines seeding UNF is first and is now 64 in the RPI after today. Florida will have alot to do with UNFs success in the RPI.

That's sad they finally changed it to 8 teams. I loved the 6 team style of baseball. That's a good bump for UNF's RPI. I'd like to see them keep winning and make a push for the at large.
04-21-2013 09:40 AM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-21-2013 09:40 AM)MercerFan Wrote:  
(04-20-2013 09:25 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-20-2013 05:29 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  APRIL 20th UPDATE: Mercer finally cracks the rankings again, checking in as high as #24. FGCU has dropped out of the rankings after an impressive 7 weeks on the charts. FGCU has been sliding recently, mostly due to the 3-game sweep at the hands of Mercer.

Mercer is on a 7-game win streak and leads the conference race by only a half game.

FGCU is treading water at best. They are only 1 game ahead of 6th place*

* The conference tourney invites the top 6 teams. There is a tie for 6th between Stetson and JU. Those teams are only 3.5 games back from Mercer. This race is VERY close, and a weekend sweep would change things drastically for anybody.

North Florida is a SOLID team, but can't get their RPI above 70. They need the conference tourney to advance to the NCAA.

ETSU and Kennesaw are also GREAT clubs, but are both clearly in need of a conference tourney crown.

Beyond that I can't imagine another team winning the tournament.

FYI...Conference tournament is 8 teams.

Also, by winning percentage which determines seeding UNF is first and is now 64 in the RPI after today. Florida will have alot to do with UNFs success in the RPI.

That's sad they finally changed it to 8 teams. I loved the 6 team style of baseball. That's a good bump for UNF's RPI. I'd like to see them keep winning and make a push for the at large.

I tend to disagree. I always hated the six team format. There were always too many variables and it made it VERY hard for teams to scout throughout the tournament. An eight team format makes it easier on fans to follow and a lot easier on the top seeds.

I am always for inclusion as well and the more teams you can add the better. My only complaint is they didn't do the pool scheduling in the tournament like the ACC. A pool schedule would guarantee EVERY team three games with only one more game for the championship. That means even if a Mercer/UNF/FGCU doesn't make the final, those teams have a chance to get as many as two wins without winning a title.

With all of that being said, so happy six teams are out and eight teams are in. Right now, Lipscomb is the team on the outside. NKU wasn't eligible anyways.
04-21-2013 07:37 PM
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MylesKnight Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?
04-21-2013 09:24 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
FGCU just took a serious RPI hit dropping to #46.
04-21-2013 09:58 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-21-2013 07:37 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-21-2013 09:40 AM)MercerFan Wrote:  
(04-20-2013 09:25 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-20-2013 05:29 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  APRIL 20th UPDATE: Mercer finally cracks the rankings again, checking in as high as #24. FGCU has dropped out of the rankings after an impressive 7 weeks on the charts. FGCU has been sliding recently, mostly due to the 3-game sweep at the hands of Mercer.

Mercer is on a 7-game win streak and leads the conference race by only a half game.

FGCU is treading water at best. They are only 1 game ahead of 6th place*

* The conference tourney invites the top 6 teams. There is a tie for 6th between Stetson and JU. Those teams are only 3.5 games back from Mercer. This race is VERY close, and a weekend sweep would change things drastically for anybody.

North Florida is a SOLID team, but can't get their RPI above 70. They need the conference tourney to advance to the NCAA.

ETSU and Kennesaw are also GREAT clubs, but are both clearly in need of a conference tourney crown.

Beyond that I can't imagine another team winning the tournament.

FYI...Conference tournament is 8 teams.

Also, by winning percentage which determines seeding UNF is first and is now 64 in the RPI after today. Florida will have alot to do with UNFs success in the RPI.

That's sad they finally changed it to 8 teams. I loved the 6 team style of baseball. That's a good bump for UNF's RPI. I'd like to see them keep winning and make a push for the at large.

I tend to disagree. I always hated the six team format. There were always too many variables and it made it VERY hard for teams to scout throughout the tournament. An eight team format makes it easier on fans to follow and a lot easier on the top seeds.

I am always for inclusion as well and the more teams you can add the better. My only complaint is they didn't do the pool scheduling in the tournament like the ACC. A pool schedule would guarantee EVERY team three games with only one more game for the championship. That means even if a Mercer/UNF/FGCU doesn't make the final, those teams have a chance to get as many as two wins without winning a title.

With all of that being said, so happy six teams are out and eight teams are in. Right now, Lipscomb is the team on the outside. NKU wasn't eligible anyways.

We'll just have to agree to disagree on that one. I liked the 6 team format.
04-21-2013 10:00 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-21-2013 09:24 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?

There's definitely been a shift, but even UNF and FGCU were pretty good immediately upon A-Sun arrival.
04-21-2013 10:01 PM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-21-2013 09:24 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?

Stetson and JU are both only one tournament removed from the NCAA's. I don't know if I would call anything and effect at this point. Teams are prone to go up and down especially at this level.
04-23-2013 02:46 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
Major bullpen problems for Mercer are even more evident right now. MU losing to 4-win Florida A&M after nice starting effort. Going to be interesting to see what that does to RPI.
04-23-2013 08:18 PM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-23-2013 08:18 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  Major bullpen problems for Mercer are even more evident right now. MU losing to 4-win Florida A&M after nice starting effort. Going to be interesting to see what that does to RPI.

It won't hurt that much, but I have seen FAMU play and they are horrid. I don't know what in the world could have happened here because they are BAD with a capital B.
04-24-2013 08:59 AM
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Post: #34
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-23-2013 02:46 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-21-2013 09:24 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?

Stetson and JU are both only one tournament removed from the NCAA's. I don't know if I would call anything and effect at this point. Teams are prone to go up and down especially at this level.

I understand that point. Previously though, both of these programs were good for an NCAA Appearance I'd say 2/3's of the time.

JU putting money into Football makes some of the reasoning understandable.. But Stetson? Facilities in Deland are great. Football is just now getting going.

Btw, Mercer has done a great job in improvement across the board. I remember going up to Macon years ago to check out a couple of Mercer/UCF Basketball Games at Porter Gym... Light years difference. Cheers to MU!
04-24-2013 01:41 PM
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Post: #35
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-24-2013 01:41 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  
(04-23-2013 02:46 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-21-2013 09:24 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?

Stetson and JU are both only one tournament removed from the NCAA's. I don't know if I would call anything and effect at this point. Teams are prone to go up and down especially at this level.

I understand that point. Previously though, both of these programs were good for an NCAA Appearance I'd say 2/3's of the time.

JU putting money into Football makes some of the reasoning understandable.. But Stetson? Facilities in Deland are great. Football is just now getting going.

Btw, Mercer has done a great job in improvement across the board. I remember going up to Macon years ago to check out a couple of Mercer/UCF Basketball Games at Porter Gym... Light years difference. Cheers to MU!

I remember the Porter Gym days! I'm glad I got to experience the environment in there. Thanks for the compliments on MU. I'm glad I got to see UCF in the A-Sun for a few years. UCF may have been Mercer's first opponent in the new Arena? Hmmm...now I'm not sure.
(This post was last modified: 04-24-2013 08:24 PM by MercerFan.)
04-24-2013 08:24 PM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #36
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-24-2013 01:41 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  
(04-23-2013 02:46 PM)Statman101 Wrote:  
(04-21-2013 09:24 PM)MylesKnight Wrote:  Have Stetson and JU really been this effected by UNF and FGCU moving up to D-I?

Stetson and JU are both only one tournament removed from the NCAA's. I don't know if I would call anything and effect at this point. Teams are prone to go up and down especially at this level.

I understand that point. Previously though, both of these programs were good for an NCAA Appearance I'd say 2/3's of the time.

JU putting money into Football makes some of the reasoning understandable.. But Stetson? Facilities in Deland are great. Football is just now getting going.

Btw, Mercer has done a great job in improvement across the board. I remember going up to Macon years ago to check out a couple of Mercer/UCF Basketball Games at Porter Gym... Light years difference. Cheers to MU!

I understand your point as well, but essentially they have only missed one NCAA Tournament since their last appearance. This is the second consecutive down year for JU and Stetson while decent last year (35 wins) didn't make the tournament and again are decent but not great this year.

I just don't see the big fall off, but just see a normal cycle for both programs. The interesting part for JU will be the transitioning away from Coach Alexander to what I assume will be Montez. Should be entertaining.

As for the league, UNF is looking strong with alot riding on the last four weeks of competition. Essentially, they have what amounts to a three game lead in the loss column over Mercer (because of tie-breaker) but have played three fewer games. The interesting part for UNF is Tyler Moore, Kyle Westwood, and David Trexler (3 of the teams top 4 arms) have hardly even played. Talk about battling through.

Mercer is good, but from my estimation is missing something. Personally, I think they lack a dominate arm (both starter and reliever), but then again I have only see them play one time this year.

ETSU can pound it and they do have a GREAT Friday starter. The rest of the staff is fairly young, but that isn't always a bad thing.

FGCU is falling fast. I don't know if its injuries or just a mid to late season swoon, but wow the last three weeks have been mighty brutal. Personally, I think it was the back to back trips to Atlanta (KSU and Mercer) that got to them and still haven't been able to recover.

The rest of the league is fighting for seeding with Lipscomb currently on the outside looking in. Oddly enough Lipscomb has wins over both UNF and Mercer.

Thats just my take.
04-25-2013 01:22 PM
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MercerFan Offline
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Post: #37
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
Mercer has 2 dominant starters, and the season opening Ace just returned from injury. It's the bullpen that's in shambles.
04-25-2013 07:34 PM
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Post: #38
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
FL Gulf Coast is continuing to tumble. North Florida (rightfully so) is now fighting for the next at-large position in the ASUN at #46
04-27-2013 06:45 PM
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Post: #39
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
(04-27-2013 06:45 PM)MercerFan Wrote:  FL Gulf Coast is continuing to tumble. North Florida (rightfully so) is now fighting for the next at-large position in the ASUN at #46

Anyone going to update our Baseball By the Numbers? Was kind of looking forward to that this week. It's going to be an interesting week for ASun Baseball!
04-29-2013 11:37 PM
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Statman101 Offline
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Post: #40
RE: Baseball by the Numbers - April 20
We will be figuring out where teams officially stands after this weekend's action because everyone will have played the same amount of games. The top of the league is still the same, because both UNF and Mercer swept their respective series on the road.

The way it is figured right now, UNF has 9 conference games remaining and Mercer 6. UNF despite having only a 0.5 lead officially would have to lose three conference games with Mercer going 6-0 in order to NOT be the #1 seed. The tie-breaker is huge in this case. If Mercer were to lose a game along the way (probably the ETSU series is the only chance of this), UNF would have to go 5-4 in its last 9 not to be #1 seed.

ETSU is mathmatically eligible for the #1 seed but I don't see it happening. So, FGCU, ETSU, Stetson are all battling for 3 through 5 with Kennesaw probably #6 and JU/Lipscomb at #7 and #8. Whoever gets Kennesaw State and/or Jacksonville in the first round will be facing a 1st round major league draft pick and that is never a good thing. It can make a bad team really good in a hurry when you have a plus arm on the mound. No one else in the league has an arm as good as Janas or Anderson in my opinion.
05-01-2013 11:04 AM
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