(05-25-2012 04:29 PM)PiKappWags Wrote: Like i said in my original post - I'm trying very hard to be optimistic and only share these reservations with you folks here. I'll be doing all I can from the stands to help the Pirates win.
That graph is amazing.
It was time for Logan to go for several reasons but John Thompson was a complete disaster. Holtz probably couldn't have won but 7 games in 2010 had he stayed... but Ruff second year was a dissappointment. I expect big things in 2012. We need to make waves.
But since I started this thread - I'll return to my point. We could have scheduled UNCC, FIU, ODU, La Tech as an Independent. Am I the only one that thinks our brand and following is a huge selling point for the current CUSA in their media negotiations? Am I the only one that thinks we could have garnered a independent deal worth more money than our cut from CUSA? We're not Texas by any means but I'm just biased enough to think that we are at least worth as much alone as we are bundled with the other members in CUSA.
You'll likely not be able to convince me we couldn't have benefited more by rallying behind a temporary stint on independence. You definatley won't be able to convince me that we'd be worse off. But it doesn't really matter: I lack the resources to be a significant booster and I will always continue to support the program.
I'm not sure what going independent would like like right now. I am not 100% against it like most Pirates are, but I'm not sure it is a better situation than C-USA either.
Here's what I do know. There are 3 paths that I have seen work to get teams into a better conference. One path includes being in a huge market/having a huge endowment. That one doesn't fit us at all. The other 2 paths are independent and dominating a weak schedule.
The first major conference realignment took place around 1991-1992. Many Pirates look at the 2005 and 2013 with frustration and ask why not us? But it was the 91-92 realignment when we were inexplicably left behind.
Florida State: Independent to ACC (1991) - ECU was 0-7 vs FSU from 1980-1990
Virginia Tech: Independent to Big East (1991) - ECU was 4-2 vs VT from 1987-1992
Miami: Independent to Big East (1991) - ECU was 0-8 vs Miami from 1980-1989
Boston College: Independent to Big East (1991)
Rutgers: Independent to Big East (1991)
Syracuse: Independent to Big East (1991) - ECU was 1-2 vs Syracuse from 1988-1991
West Virginia: Indepent to Big East (1991) - ECU as 1-2 vs WVU from 1988-1995
Pittsburgh: Independent to Big East (1991) - ECU was 2-2 vs Pitt from 1984-1992
South Carolina: Independent to SEC (1992) - ECU was 4-4 vs USC from 1988-1996
These were all independent schools that ECU was competing with at the time and ECU was left behind and not chosen by any of the 3 regional conferences (ACC, Big East, SEC). And this was in one of the best eras of ECU football when we were ranked in 1983, 1991, and 1995. As an independent we had a record of 116-106 playing some of the best teams on the East Coast. As a member of C-USA we have a record of 90-93. There is no doubt in my mind that our football program took a hit when we had our best season ever, finished #9 in the country and weren't even thought of as an addition to the ACC or Big East. We have had our successes since then against Miami, UNC, WVU, and VT but they have been mixed in with many losses. It is hard to play some of the worst teams in the nation and then transition into playing a top 15 team and hope to have regular success.
The other path that teams have been taking more recently is to dominate a weaker conference.
TCU did well to have a .667 wining percentage in C-USA for four years but then they elected to go to the MWC where they won 85.5% of their games. Then they get invited to the Big East and then the Big 12.
Boise State played in the pitiful WAC along with playing 1 decent OOC game a year where they won 87.7% of their games. The were then invited to the Big East, a conference who's footprint they were WAY outside of.
Meanwhile ECU has had all the recruiting benefits of playing in a watered down C-USA while maintaining a brutal OOC schedule. The result is even in our best years where we win C-USA back to back we end up with a record of 9-5 and outside of the polls. Granted if we win either of the liberty bowls we probably end up ranked.
I don't know whether going independent or scheduling down OOC is the better choice but either one of them probably gives us a better chance at moving on than playing in a conference with very good teams (USM, Tulsa) but so many crappy teams (UNNC, UTSA, Tulane, UAB, etc) that it gets us no respect. We essentially have a schedule of 5-6 very difficult games a year and 6-7 cupcakes. Enough good teams that a 10+ win season is unlikely but enough pushover teams that a 8 or 9 win season isn't looked at as anything that impressive.
We either needed to upgrade our schedule or downgrade it and dominate. As long as we are in C-USA our schedule has been downgraded, but is it enough to get those 10 win seasons that give us national attention? As long as we play 4 tough OOC games and USM every year, I doubt we do it with much consistency.