RE: What the Big 12, Big Ten and SEC Might Look Like as Future 16-Team Conferences
First of all, if Florida State and Clemson break out of the ACC (which is a better way of saying it--if it happens, it's because FSU and Clemson ain't happy. ) one of two things happen.
One, more likely because ego >> money, (money just gives ego an excuse): Chapel Hill rallies and starts working their relationships to save the ACC. UNC and NC State have overlapping governing boards, Virginia and Duke REALLY don't want to leave North Carolina. Add in that Virginia Tech politically can't leave Virginia in the dust, and add in that Wake Forest knows that, if the ACC implodes, Wake Forest doesn't land a power conference spot. Make a public declaration by those six schools that the ACC is here to stay, and the ACC stays. It may lose members to the Big XVI, but the ACC will continue. And if the Virginia and North Carolina schools are off the table, then the Big Ten isn't interested, and the SEC is much less interested.
In that situation, the Big XVI East has Iowa State, West Virginia and picks up FSU, Clemson, Louisville, Miami and 2 more from the group of Pitt, Georgia Tech, Rutgers, UConn. That puts the ACC at 11 (they invite UConn and Rutgers if they're not XVI-bound) and they have to find a #12.
Two, if money beats ego, the ACC is done. The Big Ten gets first pick, and takes UNC, Duke, and two of GT, U-VA and U-Md. The SEC gets NC State, and Virginia Tech--either Virginia is in the Big Ten, or Virginia is sunk whatever VT does. Now Notre Dame is facing the four-superconference-apocalypse, still hates the Big Ten and still wants a "national schedule" and the Big XVI stretching from Texas to Miami to Morgantown and Ames is pretty national.
So the Big XVI East has Iowa State, West Virginia, FSU, Miami, Clemson, Notre Dame, and three of Louisville, Rutgers, UConn, Pitt, Syracuse, BC, Virginia/Maryland/GT.
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