(05-23-2009 09:30 PM)ECMAN79 Wrote: So, you are saying that it would be solely the 9th member's job to get the re-negotiated Big East tv deal upped enough to make it worthwhile for the entire conference?
No, quite the opposite actually. What I am saying is that
the addition of 9th football member needs to make ESPN
want to renegotiate the TV contract. In other words, the ideal 9th football member would increase our TV contract money simply by joining the conference (or at minimum they would add enough to the current contract so their addition to the league wouldn't cost other members money).
BE school presidents aren't going to voluntarily jump on the expansion bandwagon if it means their respective schools are going to receive less money. Think about a BE school like UC that is tight on money as it is. They've already had to cut a bunch of scholarships from their minor sports teams. If an expansion candidate is added that can't pay for itself, members couldend up with 100-300K less per year. UC would end up having to cancel sports or cut even more scholarships (something no AD or president would be fond of doing). Louisville would be in a better position to handle a reduction in conference profits than UC, however, I can't see Jurich or Ramsey being ecstatic over a reduction in their athletic profits - particularly considering all the projects that are being completed over the next few years.
(05-23-2009 09:30 PM)ECMAN79 Wrote: and the value of the traveling fan bases also mean nothing?
Traveling fan bases do have some value in bowl negotiations, but the Big East already has several schools that have proven they will travel well to bowl games (WVU, UConn, Rutgers, Cincy, Louisville). Despite that, the conference is still struggling with bowl negotiations. Why? Because travel is only one piece of the puzzle. The other piece is having a team with an established name that brings lots of viewers (i.e. OSU, Michigan, Notre Dame, USC, Texas, etc). So while traveling is nice, bowls ultimately care about how many eyeballs a game will attractive (this is why the Gator chose the Big 12 over the Big East the last two years and why the BE is always picked last among the BCS bowls...we can bring fans but not a lot of TV sets).
(05-23-2009 09:30 PM)ECMAN79 Wrote: let's remember that ECU had their own tv contract with ESPN while they were an independent. the only other school to claim that is Notre Dame. why would ESPN do that if they didn't see value in ECU's football program?
What were the terms of the original contract? If ECU was trading profit for exposure (i.e. they signed a low value contract because they cared more about the exposure ESPN brought than the money they were offered), then you can't consider the contract as a plus for the Big East. Why? Because while expansion candidate playing on ESPN is great, if they aren't cashing in while doing it then the conference can't benefit financially. I'm sure the Big East could get a ton more games on ESPN if they cut their asking price in half and agreed to play when TV dictated (i.e. traded profit for exposure), but that wouldn't help the conference's finances.
Also, if ECU has a large value to TV, why are they no longer independent? Why did they give up their independent TV contract to join C-USA? Why is C-USA's current contract so small? Why were they passed over in favor of USF (an infant to D-I), UC, and Louisville? Neither Louisville or UC has anywhere near the market presence that ECU continually claim that ECU brings.
(05-23-2009 09:30 PM)ECMAN79 Wrote: ECU and ESPN have had a long relationship. ECU on ESPN is nothing new. is ECU worth 30% to C-USA? who knows. what is known is that every single time ECU is on ESPN vs. xyz school, the ratings are strong.
http://www.bcsfootball.org/bcsfb/tvratings
http://blog.al.com/solomon/2009/01/bowl_tv_ratings.html
2007- 2008 Hawaii Bowl E. Carolina-Boise St. 1.47 (4th lowest)
2008- 2009 Liberty Bowl E. Carolina v. Kentucky 2.3 (-34% from UCF's appearance)
So the last two bowls ECU played in had either very low ratings or experienced a massive drop in viewership compared to the year before (when a different C-USA team was playing).
- Why was UCF's liberty bowl appearance so much more highly rated (34% higher to be exact) than ECU's?
- Why was UCF's 2005-2006 Hawaii bowl against Nevada more highly rated (2.20)?
- Why did Southern Miss (2.26), Memphis (1.63), and UCF (4.14) outdrew ECU in TV viewers during the 2007-2008 bowl season?
If you can show me actual data (such as numerical tv numbers instead of opinion), then I might change my mind. However, I wouldn't call the data provided above "strong".
(05-23-2009 09:30 PM)ECMAN79 Wrote: As far as the Triangle goes (Raleigh-Durham), it's a secondary market for ECU. Just like the Tidewater part of Virginia, and Wilmington, NC. ECU gets press in all of their secondary markets; they house large alumni bases....you can toss in Northern Virginia/DC as well. There are active Pirate Club chapters in those regions. A good example of how that translates to tv...................when the ECU Women played Michigan State 2 years ago in the 1st round of the NCAA tourney, the "ECU home market" on the ESPN regionalized coverage not only included Greenville-New Bern-Washington, but also Raleigh-Durham.
My guess is the numbers tell a different story. If ECU actually had a significant presence in Washington D.C., Charlotte, NC, Tidewater, VA, and everywhere in between, then I would expect that ECU would have gotten a BE invite back in 2005. I would also expect C-USA's TV package to be substantially larger than it actually is since it would include D.C. (7th), Houston (11th), Dallas (6th), Memphis (48th), Orlando (23rd), Charlotte (32), Tidewater region (31st), New Orleans (39), Birmingham, Alabama (41), etc. Somehow I don't believe that the Big East would have left out a school that "brings" 3 markets that are in or very close to the top 30 range.