RE: Belmont PG signee is Alabama MR. B-ball
It will be a real contest between Byrd and Bartow to see who can assemble a solid team after losing their team leaders and key performers (Renfro, Wicke, Dansby and Dotson vs Tiggs, Pigram and Hamlin).
I think ETSU has some advantages: the best proven player (Mike Smith) and the one with the most upside potential (Justin Tubbs). Belmont will be looking for leadership and star production from players who have been mostly complimentary players (Jon House, Keeton Belcher, Jordan Campbell).
Underneath the basket, 6'4" Tommy Hubbard and 6'8" Isiah Brown probably have an edge due to athleticism and speed over the superior size of 6'9" Mick Hedgepeth and 6'10" 250 Rice transfer Scott Saunders.
We'll probably need a big assist from 6'11" rising sophomore Seth Coy to help counter that size. His freshman season had the opposite trajectory from Mick Hedgepeth - solid early season production and promise derailed by injury and lost behind Hamlin and Brown. Meanwhile Hedgepeth was a nonfactor the first half of the season, who had some really nice games late and in the tournament. Dejworak with 1.6 rebounds and 1.7 points as a redshirt Junior is barely worth mentioning.
All of the other returning players, for both teams, have some upside, but also some flaws. Would you rather have Jon Rice, Drew Hanlen and David Stanley or Adam Sollazzo, Jocolby Davis, Micah Williams and Jarvis Jones? I think the latter four (and especially Sollazzo) clearly have the superior upside.
I can't credit the redshirts for much either way at this point - I would be very surprised if J.C. Ward or Belmont's Adam Barnes and Brandon Baker become anything more than occasionally useful complimentary players next year.
Credit Baker as the heralded recruit with the greater upside.
As for the freshmen - I'd bet on redshirts for Poderis, Belmont's Blake Jenkins and Trevor Noack. One or two of the new guards could very well make a splash in the A-Sun. But which ones? The incoming point guards are Grimm and Johnson - they sound like very different types. Everybody has been raving about Grimm's shooting in the Indiana tournament. With Johnson people first mention quickness, ball handling, strength and penetration. If you just heard that description, wouldn't you expect that they'd be going to the opposite school that in fact recruited them: the great shooter to Belmont and the superior athlete to ETSU?? Both sailed under the radar and have come roaring through in the end of season pressure. Johnson has the clearer path to playing time since rising sophomore Drew Hanlen is the only 'experienced' point guard for Belmont, and his playing time and production as a freshman was quite modest this year. Grimm will have to struggle for playing time against an experienced senior coming back from injury in Davis, and rising sophomore Sollazzo who was uneven but has a freakishly high upside. I think that Murry will give Adam every chance to cash in on that upside.
Cooley and Clark are the off guards, but again sound like different types. Clark is reputed to be the best shooter in Memphis, although supposedly a 'program changing' athlete as well. With Cooley people mention the rebounds and steals before the shooting. Again, Clark has the clearer path with the loss of Wicke, Renfro and Harris. Jon Rice is the main returning shooting guard, averaging 4.8 minutes a game in conference - Belmont loves Rice, but Clark sounds like a much better prospect to me. The Bucs primary need at guard is more shooting and, oddly enough, 'point guard' Grimm may be able to provide better shooting than 'off guard' Cooley.
I agree with Afro4 that Byrd seems to have continued his focus on 3 point shooting in corralling his 4 freshmen, but this crew is MUCH more athletic than a stereotypical Belmont haul. Still, if you can't shoot, you're not going to Belmont.
It'll be an interesting year - lot's of unknowns and guarranteed surprises. But even after the recruiting haul, I like the Bucs chances.
And, hey, Lipscomb, Jacksonville and even Campbell are returning way more players - we should probably both be worrying more about them!
(This post was last modified: 04-10-2009 09:07 AM by swvabucsfan.)
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