georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:Who would the Afghan gov't send after us if we went in to get him? A mountain goat with a belt of TNT? WMD Owl makes the only real valid point against it, but I think dropping in Brigade is still more effective than taking over the whole country.
One big problem.. US Administrations have no “political guts” when it comes to high casualties. In Somalia, during “Black Hawk Down”, we had less than 20 KIA (but a bunch of wounded) and that was big enough to make Slick Willy pull the plug on the operation.
Assuming that the US inserted a “blocking” or containment force on the back door of the Pakistan/Afghanistan border, at Tora Bora, it would have best and safely done by helicopter, but we didn’t have the necessary aircraft in theater.
Look at the number of helicopters it took to airlift just a couple of battalions of the 101st into Objective Cobra during Desert Storm—we would have needed at least double that to go into Tora Bora.
If we dropped airborne solders by parachute into mountainous terrain on the border, the injury rate on the airdrop would go through the roof. Say 15-20% based upon WW II statistics. Then there would be expected casualties from the fighting. And since the airdrop operation was put together on a moments notice, you wouldn’t have enough medical units set up to receive casualties, as well as Casevac aircraft to transport them. So some WIA would become KIA’s …
Then add in casualties from cave to cave fighting. In Tora Bora the solders would have had to gone into the caves and cleaned them out…compare that to Operation Anaconda in March 2002 when they called in airstikes on caves and sealed in the enemy.
To go into Tora Bora, on a moment’s notice by parachute you might have a total 35-40% casualty rate (combined killed and wounded in total from all factors) Politicians might not think that is acceptable, based on history.. But if that is what it took to kill UBL, I don’t think you would hear many complaints from the voters.