eldermars
2nd String
Posts: 309
Joined: May 2005
Reputation: -10
I Root For: BYU
Location:
|
E/A Sports: 2006 Boise State/WAC predictions
Fulll Story: http://boisestate.scout.com/2/552770.html
Over the last three years, NCAA Football by EA Sports has shown an uncanny ability to predict Boise State football games.... Every year, EA Sports produces several sports software packages including one for NCAA Football. This is a video game for the different game console formats, but it is also something else--a game simulator with an amazing track record. Since 2003... NCAA Football has accurately predicted every Boise State regular season game. That's 36 in a row.
These projections are made by simulating a matchup several times to show the range of possible outcomes. The suggested minimum number is ten times, although the more times the simulation is done, the more accurate the results will be. The number of times that each team has won is then totaled up and you have the projection for the matchup. By dividing the team wins by the total simulations, you come up with the chance (in percentage) that each team will win. You can also get an average score for the game.
...Knowing this, one certainly cannot discount NCAA Football given that accuracy. So what does the software forecast for the 2006 Boise State season? To give as accurate a picture as possible, I simulated the season 60 times. Does the software also accurately predict other schools? I don't know because I've never paid attention to that. Maybe it's just accurate as far as Boise State is concerned. But for fun, I ran ten season simulations of the other schools in the Western Athletic Conference.
|
|
08-05-2006 05:51 AM |
|