Krocker Krapp Wrote:I started a thread on the MAC Board about a year ago asking if it would make sense for Louisiana Tech to join as a football-only 14th member to balance out their divisions. The Bulldogs could put their other sports in the Summit League or the New Western Conference that will need to form eventually. Sometimes you have to step back to move ahead.
At the end of the day, though, the WAC will not expel Louisiana Tech. They must decide what is best for their program. Sitting around waiting for a CUSA opening, only to possibly be rejected again, may not be the wisest strategy. If putting football in a willing MAC and playing other sports more locally is an option then they may end up having to try it.
What I try to look at when projecting conference changes is predict what a conference would be willing to do.
The MAC added Temple, was willing to accept a football only membership by Temple based on their potential and also an overall decent academic profile.
The MAC rejected WKU as a full sport member in 2005 because of their weak academic profile AND lack of tradition at the FBS level. MAC presidents made a mistake letting EMU into the league back in the 70's and didn't want to take a chance of adding would could be another weak football program.
They knew that within time as the only non-BCS program on the East Coast (Army/Navy aside) that Temple would be a pretty strong MAC team in short order cleaning up on recruits that would go to the CAA and occassionally beating out Rutgers/Pitt in recruiting battles. WKU was more of a wild card.
If the MAC passed up on WKU as a 14th with its great basketball tradition and fanbase that would make for an automatic rivalry with Ball State and Miami-O, Louisiana Tech would be an absolute no. It is just not going to happen.
The MAC is more interested in trying to lure UMass as its 14th member. The idea is after the Big East split, UMass and Temple do not get invited to the Big East and the Atlantic 10 is raided by the created catholic conference, that UMass and Temple will consider all sport memberships in the MAC. Temple has already hinted that they'll probably join the MAC all sports by 2010.
The MAC is holding out that 14th spot for UMass. With the moratorium the earliest possible move up date is 2013 and by that point it should only be more evident the advantages of joining FBS for UMass and the MAC at least football only. There is a slight (25%) chance that Temple will leave the MAC by 2013 and if so the MAC will no longer need that 14th member.
LT has passed up on SBC a few times and now it looks like the SBC no longer needs LT with South Alabama joining in 2015. At 9 members in 2009 the SBC has some ability to withstand a raid by CUSA or the WAC. On the horizon you have Jacksonville, GSU, Texas State all potential SBC schools. LT no longer has an upperhand over the SBC.