With the reconfiguration of Big East football, I foresee that the three traditional "big time" programs left in the reconstituted conference (Pittsburgh, Syracuse and West Virginia) are going to have all sorts of trouble recruiting to the level which they have been accustomed to...especially if the Big East loses its automatic BCS bid. (And based on power ratings, it would be next to impossible to justify the Big East keeping it, especially if Texas Christian winds up in the Mountain West -- unless a fifth BCS bowl was added to the mix.) As a result, come 2010 I think SU, Pitt and WVU are going to be seeking greener pastures.
We also know there's talk about Notre Dame joining an all-sports conference, including football, because of the changes in the way college football is organized. While most figure the Irish will end up in the Big Ten, I maintain the ACC remains a real player for ND for this reason: the university has many students and alumni in the east, arguably more than in the midwest, and joining the Big Ten would effectively lock in Notre Dame geographically. The ACC has more of an eastern presence, and adding Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse and West Virginia would automatically make the ACC the east's dominant conference in both football and basketball, blowing the Big East out of the water.
Is 16 teams too unwieldy? Remember, the Western Athletic Conference tried it unsuccessfully in the late 1990s. However, the ACC is far more geographically compact than the WAC was (it stretched from the Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston areas to Hawaii), and the programs are stronger.
Here's how the 16-team Atlantic League could work:
There would be four "groups" of four teams: the four North Carolina schools; the four southern schools; Boston College, Pittsburgh, Syracuse and West Virginia; and Maryland, Notre Dame, Virginia and Virginia Tech. (For football, ND and BC could switch every two years.)
Football would have two divisions, with two rotating groups of four teams; for example, one year the four NC schools would be grouped with the four southern schools, the next year with the BC/Pitt/SU/WVU group. (This way, everyone in the conference gets a chance to play Notre Dame, and heck, as things currently stand the football divisions aren't going to be strictly geographical to begin with.) There would be an eight-game conference schedule; several "traditional" games between teams from different groups (NCSU-Clemson, UVa-UNC, BC-ND) could be guaranteed as either within the division or as the lone interdivision game.
Basketball would have a one-division, 18-game conference schedule of home-and-home with your group and one game against the other 12 teams.
Remember, while ACC officials have said they're currently happy with 12 teams, they added further expansion is not out of the question. I think this would make the ACC a true "superconference," both on the playing venue and in TV packages.
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