I don't think we've overachieved, really. I think that there's a combination of the way our schedule set up and the rest of the conference being worse than we originally anticipated that inflated our hope/expectations.

Against the top-50: 0-2 (average margin -23)
51-100: 1-3 (-8.5)
101-150: 2-3 (-6.6)
151-200: 3-0 (12.3)
201+: 7-7 (3.1)

Against teams in the top-100 (so basically NIT or better worthy teams), we are 1-5, with the one win coming against a rival, at home, on a miracle heave.

There are 351 teams in college basketball - so broken into thirds (top tier, middle tier, bottom tier):
Top tier (1-117): we are 2-5 (ODU and Marshall)
Middle Tier (118-234): we are 5-4
Bottom Tier (235+): we are 6-1

With the CAA opponents currently shown as finishing:
NE 71
CoC 73
Hofstra 117
Towson 121
Elon 159
Drexel 235
Delaware 252
UNCW 263
JMU 285

(Conference opponent average: 175.1)

So our 5-game win streak came against teams projected to finish 117, 285, 252, 235, and 285. That gave us more hope than we probably should have had, given the difficulty of the opponents. We're currently 2-6 against the top-6 conference opponents (wins over Hofstra and Drexel).

With all of that said, there aren't teams that are clearly dominant, so Charleston has the potential to be just as interesting for us as usual.