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(01-22-2018 03:45 PM)ODUCoach Wrote:  

(01-22-2018 01:57 PM)FearTheLion Wrote:  To me, a comfortable jumper that swishes when Randy's foot (or feet) have breached the line is much better than what we have seeing at ODU in recent years. A comfortable two pointer without regard to inches below his feet is fine by me. My take is that if he were looking down at the last minute (ala Kemba) to stepback and then shoot it, Randy might not have the same comfort in his release. So I'm good with the two each time he is set.

But I will close with my biggest aggravation (and we've seen it from multiple players on the court for ODU and often at the same)...the player that gets the ball facing the basketball from 16-18 feet and the defender stays in the paint because the player is NO threat to score. So glad those days are over, well mostly over. We still have one on the court getting quite a few minutes and I'll give him a pass because he doesn't get it out there as much as these two or three players in the past did. It really pointed out an offensive liability and angered me (off the boards of course).

There is a great stat in the advanced analytics called Expected Shot Value. Basically, it's a weighted average of what a particular shot is worth. Based on Randy's shooting percentage from the mid-range, I'm not sure he should ever take anything other than layups or threes (as I do think there is spacing benefit to his willingness to shoot it beyond the arc, despite his percentages).

If you are interested in ESV, here is a good article that talks about it.

https://fansided.com/2015/08/17/nylon-ca...selection/

Its not possible to achieve, but certainly something to shoot for. The 3 types of shots that should be sought after are:

Layup
3 Pointer
A shot that results in a foul

Any other shot is inferior. Yes, there are the occasional Trey Freeman types, but they are not common. The Rockets are a good example. Long 2 point jumpers are something Jones need to cross out of his playbook, but he seems to like them.