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(03-04-2018 03:28 PM)CallMeSlim Wrote:  

(03-04-2018 12:21 PM)Xpectations Wrote:  

(03-04-2018 09:44 AM)Bearcats#1 Wrote:  ^You have to also factor in XU will get to play the 12, 14, and 13 seeds because they always end up playing in the bracket where the good teams get tossed early.

Always love the creative narratives. But then there's reality.

Starting with the 2000 NCAA Tournament ...

• XU Average Opponent Seed: 6.4
• UC Average Opponent Seed: 7.7
• XU Average Seed Beaten: 7.8
• UC Average Seed Beaten: 12.1
• XU Average Seed Loss: 3.4
• UC Average Seed Loss: 5.2
• XU Tournament Wins: 21
• UC Tournament Wins: 11
• XU Sweet Sixteens: 7
• UC Sweet Sixteens: 2
• XU Elite Eights: 3
• UC Elite Eights: 0
  

Again, not saying there can't be lucky breaks in the NCAA Tournament, but the data shows it's far more than luck.

im just gonna put this here. its from my 1st ever post here but fits well to this.


since 2011 when uc started making the tournament again here is the breakdown.

UC average seed 7 xu average seed 7 (goes up to 8 if you count the play in loss, but since they lost the play in, they didn't get in).


UC has made the 2nd round or better 4 times. xavier has made the 2nd round or better 4 times.


in the 2nd round UC played the 10, 24, 1, and 16th ranked kenpom teams. average of 13th best team.

in the 2nd round xu has played 79, 68, 38, 26. average of 53rd best team.



so i guess the data does show luck? no way!