(08-01-2017 09:57 PM)stever20 Wrote:  well, tonight shows exactly why I say the AL Cy Young Race isn't over. Sale got destroyed tonight with 7 runs in 5 innings. His ERA goes from 2.37 up to 2.70. Sale has 1 or 2 more of those starts, and he's going to totally undo what he did in July. Even now, he took his ERA since July 1 from 1.04 up to 2.50 tonight.

This, again, is a one-sided analysis. Sale leads Kluber in nearly every important statistical category, AFTER giving up 7 R in 5 IP. And one of the reasons? Kluber gave up 4 R in 6 IP in his last start. And Kluber, with the exception of 2014, isn't exactly lights out in the late season. His 2016 August was decent. Otherwise, lots of 3+ ERAs in August/Sept/Oct.

How on Earth do you see Sale giving up 1 or 2 more starts with 7 ER in 5 IP? What in his history tells you that is remotely possible?

Bottom line: Sale still has room to falter; Kluber does not. Sale is still clearly the safer bet.