(06-22-2017 09:33 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:  

(06-22-2017 07:49 AM)stever20 Wrote:  

(06-21-2017 11:16 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote:  Sale is on track for 300+ Ks. That's a historic-level season. If he doesn't get injured there's a great chance he'll hit it. With that, and an ERA in the vicinity of Keuchel's (say, within 0.2 or so), I think he'd win.

You see, that's the thing. Keuchel has got to come back to Sale. If Keuchel keeps on at a sub 2 ERA, Sale has almost zero shot to get close enough. For Sale right now to finish with a 2.48 ERA even- he would need to rest of the season- in say 34 starts and lets say 225 innings- 62 earned runs. So right now he's given up 34 er in 107.1 innings. He would need to give up 28 er in 117.2 ip. That's a 2.14 ERA. I'm sorry, but right now, he's shown absolutely no indication that he can do that. His last 10 starts, he's pitched to a 3.75 ERA. Last 5 starts, it's 3.93.

Yeah, if Keuchel can come back soon and keep his ERA under 2.50 (closer to 2.00) then it's his to lose. If his ERA ends around 2.60 and Sale is at like 2.90 with 40 more innings and continued dominance, then it'll go to Sale

Problem that Sale has is if he keeps on at 3.75 ERA push the rest of the season(what he's done last 10 starts)- his end of season ERA would be 3.32. For Sale to have a chance, he's going to have to improve his numbers some. Considering he's faded in years past and he's thrown more innings so far this year than he ever has at this point of the year- color me doubtful.

I think a dark horse this year may actually be Kluber. He's positioned himself well where if he can put together a great 2nd half, he could steal the award. And like we showed yesterday, he's been the good version here recently. (of course, he's going to get lit up next start on Saturday and we'll LOL at this post).