(05-22-2017 09:51 PM)stever20 Wrote:  

(05-22-2017 05:28 PM)flyingswoosh Wrote:  

(05-22-2017 11:43 AM)stever20 Wrote:  

(05-22-2017 11:35 AM)flyingswoosh Wrote:  

(05-22-2017 11:15 AM)stever20 Wrote:  Keuchel supposed to miss only 1 start. So not sure why you exactly think that Sale would get 35 more innings than Keuchel will(and I don't think voters look at it as absolutely as you do anyways). As we saw 2 years ago, voters aren't blown away just by strikeouts. Kershaw had 65 more k's than anyone, but finished a distant 3rd to guys who had more wins and a better ERA.

because I don't expect Keuchel to keep up his current pace. Sure, if Keuchel ends with 20+ wins and an ERA below 2, he'll probably win. But do you really expect that to happen? The crazy thing is, while Kershaw got kinda robbed, Sale is actually having an even better season. And even with Keuchel's insanely lucky start, his bWAR is still lower than Sale's.

The true test will be, will Keuchel win it if his ERA is like .20 worse than Sale's, but has like 7 more wins? You'll witness one hell of an outcry if he does

Isn't that what you said about Greinke 2 years ago?

It is indeed, but that's one example of a guy who kept up his pace. We never talk about the dozens who don't

I would say though that a guy that has done it before like Keuchel has could do it again vs someone who has never done it before.....