(02-23-2018 11:40 AM)Boca Rocket Wrote:  

(02-23-2018 10:58 AM)EAGLE KING Wrote:  Just another example that "Star Ratings" are not a good indicator of future success or of strength of a recruiting class as CC has said many times. Justice was a 3* out of HS.

Lowest ranked 3 star Michigan HS player for the Michigan HS recruiting Class of 2016. Williams was the #57 player in the State according to 247. Signing with EMU and an early offer from Toledo. Player #58 was a 2 star rated player.

Couple thoughts:

1). We have 'grade inflation' if there are 57 three-star recruits in any MI h.s. senior class.

2). If he really was a 3-star recruit, then 3-stars is the de facto lower limit for MAC prospects.

Any given year, I assume there are say 50 or max of 60 Big Ten or MAC prospects. The top say 25 or 30 are B1G prospects and the other say 25 are MAC prospects.

I don't see more than say 60 MI h.s. seniors signing to play FBS ball as scholarship players from any given high school class.

E.g., Grissom may have had a B1G 'ranking' but might not have had the grades. Howie was a low B1G/high MAC caliber recruit, in that 25 - 35 range.

Again assigning ranks is about as subjective as one gets. Anything more than assigning ranks based on test scores, times in the 40 yard dash, etc. is very unreliable.

Even things like say: "Joe scored 23 on the ACT and that placed him in the 55th percentile" (an example, think I'm fairly close). 55th percentile is pretty murky for predictions.